Paper prepared by the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O).
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Andrew FurberSPI-M-O: Statement on population case detection gov.uk/government/pub… Useful statement on the utility of mass testing with important caveats e.g. "testing alone will not reduce transmission if people cannot or will not self-isolate, following the receipt of a positive test."
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Where people live and the jobs they do are more likely to explain the differences, research shows.
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Andrew FurberCoronavirus: Higher ethnic death risk 'not linked to health'
bbc.co.uk/news/health-54… More evidence of structural inequalities with links to jobs and housing.
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A paper summarising the effectiveness and harms of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs).
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Andrew FurberNEW: Summary of effectiveness and harms of NPIs (non-pharmaceutical interventions) gov.uk/government/pub… Really important assessment from SAGE #Covid19UK "A package of interventions will need to be adopted to prevent this exponential rise in cases."
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A statement by the presidents of the non-university research organizations on the COVID-19 epidemic based on mathematical analyses of the data situation
Andrew Furber25% (1267/5083) of today's Covid-19 cases in England are in the North West coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases?areaType… I'm asking residents to take particular care. We are at a pivotal moment. #NorthWest #Covid19UK
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Andrew FurberCome and join our brilliant team at @PHE_NorthWest ! We're looking for a Senior Health Protection Practitioner AfC band 8b/PHE Upper G7 healthjobsuk.com/job/v2636186 #JobVacancy #HealthProtection #PublicHealth Closes 28/9/20
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Guidance from Scotland's National Clinical Director on how COVID-19 symptoms differ from those of other infections circulating at this time of year.
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Andrew FurberCommon cold and COVID-19 symptoms: advice for parents and carers gov.scot/publications/c… Sensible advice from @jasonleitch (a runny nose in children does not require a covid test) #covid19uk
121d
National COVID-19 surveillance reports, weekly summary of findings monitored through various COVID-19 surveillance systems.
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Andrew Furber1/2 National COVID-19 surveillance report gov.uk/government/pub… This week's report shows a welcome decline in Covid-19 across much of the NW thanks to the amazing efforts of local residents, with great support from colleagues in @PHE_NorthWest and local authorities. But ...
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Andrew FurberNEW: This week's National COVID-19 surveillance report gov.uk/government/pub… Rates in the North West remain the highest in the country. Please take extra care.
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Location: Homebased/Flexible, Salary: £75,914 - £107,668 per annum (pro rata)
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Andrew FurberDespite what you might read in the papers, @PHE_NorthWest still has important work to do and needs people to do it! Consultants in Healthcare Public Health roles available now
147d
Duncan Selbie addresses the creation of the National Institute for Health Protection.
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Andrew FurberPrivileged to have worked with Duncan Selbie, whose leadership was characterised by "professionalism and dignity and with the values that matter the most, decency, kindness and respect." We need more leaders like this. publichealthmatters.blog.gov.uk/2020/08/18/a-m… #leadership
150d
Councils tell us how they're plugging holes in the one-size-fits-all national system, which is only reaching half the "close contacts" it could be.
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Andrew FurberAnother misleading article on NHS Test and Trace. It is working, and local authorities are complementing this with targeted local action as they should (as @DPH_MAshton correctly states).
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What the reproduction number can and can’t tell us about managing COVID-19.
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Andrew FurberA guide to R — the pandemic’s misunderstood metric nature.com/articles/d4158… Excellent article: "it’s far more important to watch for clusters of cases and to set up comprehensive systems to test people, trace their contacts" than to focus on R. #COVID19
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The reproduction number (R) is the average number of secondary infections produced by 1 infected person.
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Andrew FurberUPDATE: The R number in the UK (including regional estimates) gov.uk/guidance/the-r… Note regional estimates are less useful as case numbers fall (i.e. never look at R in isolation). #Covid19UK
217d
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Andrew FurberICYMI: R rate for North West England 1.2-1.5 with a daily growth rate of +3 to +8%. gov.uk/guidance/the-r… This is exceptionally concerning and makes it really important that we all follow the rules.
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No restrictions were placed on residents’ movements, and businesses from restaurants to hairdressers stayed open
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Andrew FurberJapan May Have Beaten Coronavirus Without Lockdowns or Mass Testing. But How?
time.com/5842139/japan-… International comparisons are difficult, but good messaging about avoiding the three Cs: closed spaces, crowded places, and close-contact settings
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