Kevin Quealy
One of many, @nytgraphics + @upshotNYT. Returned Peace Corps volunteer, South Africa. Bald, Minnesotan, 4̶t̶h̶ 5th nicest of 8 children.
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These Americans Tried to Listen to One Another. A Year Later, Here’s How They’re Voting.
A year ago, 526 voters met in Texas to talk politics. We caught up with them ahead of the election.
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Kevin Quealy
A year ago, @emilymbadger, @celestesloman, @chadbatka and I went to Texas to witness an experiment in which 526 representative voters talked politics over a long weekend. We took a portrait of almost everyone.
We revisit them today, grouped by party
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Kevin Quealy
These portraits will disarm you and show you the humanity of "the other party" — whatever it is — in a way a normal poll just can't. Even if you are dead inside, you will find something in them.
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
(P.S., this is also a poll story.) pic.twitter.com/4Uiryzd5wj
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Who Watched the Debates on Television, Minute By Minute
Detailed viewership data shows which households tuned out of the debates first.
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Kevin Quealy
And check out this party split just on the networks people watched THE SAME LIVE EVENT ON (and note the different destinations for postdebate analysis).
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/soqaTq1WEd
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A Detailed Map of Who Is Wearing Masks in the U.S.
The patterns from hundreds of thousands of survey respondents reflect partisanship, peer pressure and the footprint of the coronavirus itself.
Meet the Supporters Trump Has Lost
A significant majority of people who voted for him in 2016 are planning to do so again. What is different about those who’ve had a change of heart?
Public Opinion Rarely Moves Fast, but It Has on Black Lives Matter
Examining the large and rapid shift in American voters’ attitudes on the Black Lives Matter movement.
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Kevin Quealy
New in today's Upshot, we contextualize the large shift in voters' attitudes about Black Lives Matter.
In the span of a couple weeks, support changed almost as much as it had in the previous two years. (With @Nate_Cohn)
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/EdcJTkcrhf
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Kevin Quealy
Every major subset of voters has shifted significantly toward supporting BLM in recent weeks.
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/5qfGT0ZrhM
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The Richest Neighborhoods Emptied Out Most as Coronavirus Hit New York City
Estimating how many residents left New York City, neighborhood by neighborhood.
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Kevin Quealy
New in today's Upshot, a serious attempt at answering a question I think almost all New Yorkers have wondered:
How many people have actually left?
Our ballpark answer: about 5 percent, roughly 420,000 people.
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Kevin Quealy
The distribution of who left was much more uneven than I would have guessed: In the city’s very wealthiest blocks — think parts of the Upper East Side, West Village, SoHo, Brooklyn Heights — residential pop. decreased by 40% or more.
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/kncj1xkYfn
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Kevin Quealy
If you divide NYC into 2 parts — places where more than 25% of residents left compared to everywhere else:
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/0XEW1rtHnH
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Five Ways to Follow the Coronavirus Outbreak for Any Metro Area in the U.S.
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Kevin Quealy
New today in NYT-world, humble charts and tables that, we hope, help you think about coronavirus outbreak in hundreds of metro areas across the U.S. Including good news!
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Deaths in New York City Are More Than Double the Usual Total
Deaths from all causes have surged, undermining arguments that coronavirus numbers have been overblown.
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Kevin Quealy
Above- or below- expected deaths by month, New York City, 2000-2020
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/57oV7Kn573
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How Fast the Coronavirus Outbreak Is Growing in Hundreds of U.S. Communities
Tracking coronavirus growth rates in metro areas around the nation.
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Kevin Quealy
New this morning, charts that help you think about the growth rates of coronavirus in hundreds of metros around the U.S.
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Some U.S. Cities Could Have Coronavirus Outbreaks Worse Than Wuhan’s
Four ways to measure the size of the outbreak across U.S. metro areas.
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Kevin Quealy
New this afternoon: four ways to think about comparing coronavirus outbreaks across the U.S. None is particularly comforting. nytimes.com/interactive/20… with @Nate_Cohn @sangerkatz @jshkatz
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At Least 3.28 Million Americans Lost Their Jobs Last Week. See Your State.
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Kevin Quealy
Not the most normal chart I've ever seen nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/u0xNR6yOMC
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Red vs. Blue on Coronavirus Concern: The Gap Is Still Big but Closing
After initially being dismissive, Republicans are starting to move closer to matching Democrats’ level of worry.
American Partisanship May Find Its Limits in Coronavirus
After initially being dismissive, Republicans are starting to move closer to matching Democrats’ level of concern.
Could Coronavirus Cause as Many Deaths as Cancer in the U.S.? Putting Estimates in Context
How the best- and worst-case scenarios compare with other common killers.
Why Are American Women Running Faster Than Ever? We Asked Them — Hundreds of Them
What’s behind a sea change in women’s elite and sub-elite running.
Introducing the Needle, the New Hampshire Version
The state has its challenges, but it’s no Iowa.
Iowa Could Have Multiple Candidates Declare Victory. Let Us Show You How.
It’s not likely to happen, but a perfect political storm is plausible.
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Kevin Quealy
Why might a candidate lead in one measure in Iowa but not in others? Yesterday's @Nate_Cohn has the answer.
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What Is the Election Needle? And Why Will We Have 4 of Them Tonight?
A closer look at our election forecaster before the Iowa caucuses.
We Asked You to Name These Athletes, Politicians and Celebrities. Here’s How You Did.
No, not THAT Justin. What facial recognition tells us about how memory works (or doesn’t).
Quiz: Can You Identify These Politicians, Athletes and Celebrities? Most Americans Can’t.
Why recognizability matters, to politicians and celebrities alike.
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Kevin Quealy
New today in Upshot, a quiz that asks you a simple question: who is in this photograph?
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Kevin Quealy
Including:
• Most Americans under 40 can't identify @JoeBiden when shown only his picture
• PewDiePie and @JeffreeStar are more recognizable to teenagers than any Dem. 2020 candidate
• What @mikebloomberg's ad buy did for his recognizability
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