Matt Grossmann
Michigan State political scientist & director; fellow; contributor; New Book: Red State Blues #SocSciResearch
Last synced from Twitter 85d ago
de_abreu_Maia_-_Ideological_identification.pdf
Google Docs 85d 1 tweets
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Matt Grossmann Ideological identification is extremely stable & as polarized as partisanship. Ideological labels are predictive of issue positions & associated with presidential, Congressional, & gubernatorial vote choice #polisciresearch 85d
kingzette_jaws.pdf
Google Docs 85d 1 tweets
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Matt Grossmann Feelings toward your own party are driven mostly by partisan identity. But feelings toward the opposing party are driven mostly by issue positions & ideological identities #polisciresearch 85d
The Election’s Big Twist: The Racial Gap Is Shrinking
Nate Cohn - Nytimes.com 85d 8 tweets
Racial and ethnic divides? Actually, Biden is making gains with white voters, and Trump with nonwhite ones.
Why Do States Privatize their Prisons? The Unintended Consequences of Inmate Litigation | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Cambridge Core 86d 1 tweets
Why Do States Privatize their Prisons? The Unintended Consequences of Inmate Litigation
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Matt Grossmann privatization of prisons is best predicted by litigation brought by prisoners on state corrections systems, rather than the ideological orientation of a state government #polisciresearch 86d
Unmet Promises: Diminishing Confidence in Education Among College‐Educated Adults from 1973 to 2018
Wiley Online Library 87d 2 tweets
Objective This article asks: Does experience with education undermine confidence in the institution? If so, has this changed over time? Method This study uses mixed effects binary logistic regress...
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Matt Grossmann Confidence in the institution of education has declined over time, especially among those with a college degree #SocSciResearch 86d
Ballot Measures: A National Rundown for 2020 – Sabato's Crystal Ball
Centerforpolitics.org 86d 1 tweets
Matt Grossmann Election rules changes common in this year’s ballot initiatives: Reminder that we’ve compiled NCSL data on all state ballot initiatives since 1902: 86d
NCSL Ballot Measures for Correlates Project | IPPSR
Ippsr.msu.edu 86d 1 tweets
The following data is a compilation of all ballot measures in all fifty states from 1902-2016. It includes such variables as whether the measure passed or failed, the percentage of "yes" votes for each ballot measure, and categories of issue area...
Matt Grossmann Election rules changes common in this year’s ballot initiatives: Reminder that we’ve compiled NCSL data on all state ballot initiatives since 1902: 86d
Early voting could hit record-smashing 100 million by Election Day
NBC News 87d 2 tweets
58 million people already have cast ballots — and the total could be double that of 2016, according to NBC News.
Matt Grossmann If we continue at the 5 million/day pace we got today of new early votes, we could get to 100 million before Election Day: But I don’t know the likely last weekend trajectory 86d
End Fracking
Adm0.page.link 86d 1 tweets
Trump for President started airing this Negative ad about Biden for President on 10/27/20 in the US Presidential 2020 General election.
Matt Grossmann Trump running new ad claiming Biden would end fracking, splicing together Biden statements with testimonial 86d
Work ethic and economic development: An investigation into Weber’s thesis
Sciencedirect.com 86d 1 tweets
This paper argues that the capitalist spirit associated with Max Weber’s Protestant Ethics is not associated with Protestantism but with the moderniza…
Matt Grossmann Protestant adherence has a positive relation with work ethic, but the relation is less robust than economic Development’s effect on work ethic #SocSciResearch 86d
Explaining the Decline in the US Employment-to-Population Ratio: A Review of the Evidence
Aeaweb.org 134d 2 tweets
(September 2020) - This paper first documents trends in employment rates and then reviews what is known about the various factors that have been proposed to explain the decline in the overall employment-to-population ratio between 1999 and 2018....
Matt Grossmann Workforce has declined from population aging, import competition from China, & robots (& to a lesser extent disability insurance) #SocSciResearch 86d
BLACK LIVES MATTER PROTESTS, FATAL POLICE INTERACTIONS, AND CRIME
Onlinelibrary.wiley.com 86d 2 tweets
cspp: A Tool for the Correlates of State Policy Project Data
Cran.r-project.org 86d 1 tweets
Electoral College bias and the 2020 presidential election
PNAS 86d 1 tweets
Donald Trump's 2016 victory in the Electoral College without leading in the popular vote has led to speculation of a repeat in 2020. If the Democrats were to win the popular vote but by less than a landslide, could they be thwarted from stopping...
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Matt Grossmann The Electoral College has not uniformly benefited Republicans over the popular vote. It just happens to have done so when it really mattered to election outcomes in 2000 & (especially) 2016 #polisciresearch 86d
Republicans closely resemble autocratic parties in Hungary and Turkey - study
Julian Borger - the Guardian 88d 27 tweets
Swedish university finds ‘dramatic shift’ in GOP under Trump, shunning democratic norms and encouraging violence
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Matt Grossmann Republican Party rhetoric has moved toward global anti-democratic populist parties, first slowly & then quickly under Trump: 86d
In the American Public’s Eyes, 2020 Has Been About Trump - to His Detriment - Morning Consult
Joanna Piacenza - Morning Consult 86d 1 tweets
Caution and confidence keep Biden close to home in final days
POLITICO 87d 5 tweets
The Democrat is gambling that his low profile amid the pandemic — compared to Trump's massive rallies and frenetic travel schedule — will pay off.
Matt Grossmann Dem poll finds Trump rallies make voters less favorable toward Trump by large margins (56-26%) in swing states due to COVID: I’d like to see survey ? text But Biden is avoiding negative rally comparison coverage, which could even be net negative for Trump 87d
Estimating the unintended participation penalty under top-two primaries with a discontinuity design
Sciencedirect.com 87d 1 tweets
Participation in U.S. elections lags behind most of its developed, democratic peers. Reformers seeking to increase voter turnout often propose changes…
Matt Grossmann When top-two primaries produce same-party winners in CA & WA, approximately 7% of voters “roll off” the ballot in the absence of party competition while overall turnout is unaffected #SocSciResearch 87d
October Verified Voter Omnibus - Multiparty Democracy - Echelon Insights
Echelon - Echelon Insights 87d 2 tweets
Updates on the 2019 Multiparty Democracy model from our October Verified Voter Omnibus Survey.
Voting with their Sandals: Partisan Residential Sorting on Climate Change Risk
NBER 87d 3 tweets
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, and business professionals.
Matt Grossmann registered republicans are more likely than independents to own houses exposed to sea level rise #SocSciResearch 87d