Pittsburgh, a sister city to Wuhan, China, saw only modest cases for months. In the last two weeks, cases are suddenly soaring.
Michael OtsukaPittsburgh got daily new Covid infections down to zero in mid-June. Reopened. Daily infections now 200. Rise contact-traced to bars & restaurants. Median age of newly infected = 29, many asymptomatic.
Governments are starting to change policies amid concerns that tiny droplets can carry SARS-CoV-2. And after months of denying the importance of this, the World Health Organization is reconsidering its stance.
Michael OtsukaNature has just published an article about the piece signed by the 239 scientists👇. 1/
Michael Otsuka@davidpapineau It appears that it's the government, rather than the NHS, which determines whether and when people are advised to shield & that the NHS is merely drawing attention to this👇shift in government guidance. 1/
A study just published in Nature reveals the following: even for someone with no underlying health conditions, the increased risk…
Michael OtsukaA new blog: 'Healthy workers as young as 45 at greater risk from Covid-19 than “clinically vulnerable” workers'
Michael OtsukaIn the Nature version, the effect of age in increasing risk is even greater, in comparison with the effects of health conditions, thereby reinforcing the points I make in this thread. Here's a blog I've just posted👇. 2/2
Jim Dickinson calls for a focus on the reality of student and staff lives as campus planning for next year starts to come to conclusions.
Michael Otsuka.@jim_dickinson draws attention to how bleak the planned socially distanced campus will be, both inside and outside the classroom. Proposed solution: online teaching so students can use classroom space for socially distanced study, socialising & societies.
The complexity of organising teaching and timetables in the context of Covid-19 will push the sector to the brink, says professor of history Glen O’Hara
Michael OtsukaSee this account👇by @gsoh31 of the "fiendish complexity of organising teaching and timetables in the context of coronavirus" under the hybrid model that most UK universities are adopting.
Its decision to carry on in the face of the pandemic has yielded a surge of deaths without sparing its economy from damage — a red flag as the United States and Britain move to lift lockdowns.
Michael Otsuka"Sweden suffered a vastly higher death rate while failing to collect on the expected economic gains." x12 more deaths per capita than Norway, x6 more than Denmark. Central bank projected fall in GDP: NOR -3.9%; DNK -4.1%; SWE -4.5%. See also👇. 1/3