New York City mayor Bill de Blasio is going to have a difficult presidential campaign. Even the people who know him best — New Yorkers — don’t particularly li…
Nate SilverI actually think de Blasio's chances are slightly underrated just because the NYC-based media hates him for not-particularly-good reasons, but by underrated I mean I'd give him like a 1 in 100 shot instead of 1 in 10,000.
Compare various draft pick trade value charts with graphs and numerical analysis.
Nate SilverThere are various draft value charts, and they say the 2/3 is slightly better than taking your chances, as a default. But Zion is much better No. 1 pick than normal. But also, the No. 4/5 picks in this draft are pretty weak compared to normal.
Trump voters named one source more than any other as their main source of election news, whereas Clinton voters were spread across an array of sources.
Nate SilverIn 2016, only 1% (!) of Sanders primary voters (and 4% of Clinton primary voters) reported Fox as their main source of news, so it's not like you're forsaking all that large an audience that won't see your message elsewhere. pewrsr.ch/2HjisR2pic.twitter.com/7zWk8cgo0P
Cenk Uygur, John Iadarola, and Maytha Alhassen, hosts of "The Young Turks," discuss a CNN poll conducted by research organization SSRS that showed Joe Biden with a resounding lead against Sen. Bernie Sanders in the Democratic presidential primary....
In the wake of the Mueller report, Democratic leadership in the House has continued to investigate President Trump while downplaying the prospects of impeachmen…
Nate Silver"To start with the basics, The Young Turks are full of shit about this," is a phrase I used in this week's podcast in reference to their poll unskewing.
Nate SilverPredictions are one thing—we've been doing this for a long time and the track record shows we get things right more often than not, which is not to say always—but facts are another and y'all ought to stop misinforming readers about basic facts about polls. 53eig.ht/30h0lmatwitter.com/cenkuygur/stat…
Much of the analysis that has been written about the 2020 Democratic primaries focuses on Joe Biden's vulnerabilities to attack from the Left. But knocking Biden off of his perch as the front-runner may, counter-intuitively, actually require his...