The President’s plan is for a political civil war, and it is working.
Nate SilverIt really irks me when prominent journalists (e.g. in the New Yorker) write stuff like "Trump has the extraordinary ability to get Americans to talk about what he wants them to talk about" without acknowledging the media's role in deciding what to cover. bit.ly/2XTCL1tpic.twitter.com/4ysOQ0iKKr
As we talked about on this week’s podcast, Bernie Sanders is having trouble differentiating himself from Elizabeth Warren and other candidates competing for lib…
Nate SilverWrote a little bit more on this today. Bernie is way out in front on which candidate D voters trust to handle health care. That's what probably should happen when half your rivals endorse your plan! -->
We've already reloaded the FiveThirtyEight NBA prediction model.
Nate SilverHey all! We have a sneak peak of our NBA team projections up, BUT these are gonna change a lot because we're working on a new valuation metric that should hopefully be ready in a few weeks.
This primary season, FiveThirtyEight and the Center for Public Integrity, a nonprofit investigative news organization, are teaming up to track candidates’ FEC filings and update this page with the latest numbers each quarter
Sen. Kamala Harris has moved into second place among Democratic presidential contenders, while Sen. Bernie Sanders has dropped into fifth place, in the latest New Hampshire primary poll conducted by Saint Anselm College.
Nate SilverAlso, my periodic reminder not to use the phrase "statistical tie" to refer to a situation like this.
The candidates in this poll are *not* statistically tied. Rather they're *essentially* tied or *virtually* tied or the race is "too close to call".