Dave Wasserman
U.S. House editor of the nonpartisan Report & contributor. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, 📈 election data, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes.
Last synced from Twitter 1314d ago
Biden’s Path to 270 Widens, Trump’s Path Narrows, as Texas Moves to Toss Up
The Cook Political Report 90d 6 tweets
Less than a week out from Election Day and President Donald Trump is playing catch-up. In 2016, he won 30 states (and Maine's 2nd Congressional District) and their 306 electoral votes. Today, just 20 states, worth 125 electoral votes, are safely in...
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Dave Wasserman New : Texas's 38 electoral votes move from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis from 90d
The polls could be wrong. But that may help Biden, not just Trump.
NBC News 91d 4 tweets
Analysis: In recent elections, survey errors have a lot do to with where you live.
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Dave Wasserman New for : here's why I stand by my bet that Biden will win a higher share of the vote in Arizona than Wisconsin, and why he's likelier to break through in Texas than Ohio. 91d
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Dave Wasserman If you're wondering why I'm more bullish on AZ than WI for Biden, I've tried to explain here: 91d
Control Of Redistricting Is Up For Grabs In 2020. Here Are The Races To Watch.
Nathaniel Rakich - FiveThirtyEight 91d 2 tweets
Most of the attention on the 2020 election is focused on who will sit in the White House for the next four years. But the 2020 election could also help decide w…
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Dave Wasserman A terrific look at what's at stake on the ballot for 2021 redistricting by and . 91d
Don’t Call Texas’s Latino Voters the “Sleeping Giant”
Texas Monthly - Texas Monthly 104d 2 tweets
They're not disengaged—they’re waiting to be heard, and fully understood.
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Dave Wasserman A great read on the complexities of TX's Hispanic vote (h/t ). 92d
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 Favorability Ratings
Realclearpolitics.com 109d 3 tweets
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 Favorability Ratings
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Dave Wasserman Perhaps the most damning poll stat for Trump, who one GOP strategist described to me as a "lifelong predator brand:" Biden's net favorability has *improved* the more the president has intensified his attacks. 96d
Log in | The Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report 98d 3 tweets
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Dave Wasserman New at : 12 late-breaking House rating changes, all but one in Democrats’ direction. Read full analysis: 98d
Advertising Analytics AdMo
Host2.advertisinganalyticsllc.com 99d 1 tweets
The only tool that matches spending to actual ads in real time.
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Dave Wasserman Most unique House race dynamic might be #IN05, where Christina Hale (D) has run as a "lifelong Hoosier" while the DCCC and state Sen. Victoria Spartz (R) have aired multiple ads featuring Spartz, a Ukrainian immigrant, speaking w/ a thick accent. 99d
Wait Times | Gwinnett County
Gwinnettcounty.com 106d 4 tweets
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Dave Wasserman Five days later, turns out this was the political equivalent of a new iPhone going on sale. Dems are so motivated to vote vs. Trump they overwhelmed initial bandwidth. Now, w/ kinks addressed, lines at all 9 Gwinnett early voting sites are under 15 mins. 101d
In Georgia’s bellwether Peach County, divide over pandemic and president trumps all
ajc 101d 1 tweets
Peach County’s voters have picked the eventual presidential winner in just about every election since 1992, swinging from Barack Obama to Donald Trump in the past two races. The exception was 2000, when Al Gore captured Peach County by a scant 15...
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Dave Wasserman Nice report from one of the ten bellwethers by in the . 101d
Voter check-in system to blame for slow-moving lines in Georgia
ajc 104d 1 tweets
Georgia's slow-moving lines and long waits for early voting is linked to slow computers used to verify each voter, the AJC reports. Some early voting sites reported checking in just 10 voters per hour at each computer.
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Dave Wasserman Imagine how much higher the already-historic GA early vote totals would be if not for bandwidth issues that require 4+ minutes to check in a single voter, in many instances. 104d
Poll: Biden continues to hold double-digit national lead over Trump
NBC News 104d 5 tweets
Joe Biden leads by 11 points nationally in the new poll, which also finds 62 percent of Americans believe the nation is on the wrong track.
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Dave Wasserman New NBC/WSJ (10/9-12, RVs): Biden 53% Trump 42% 104d
West Virginians favor Trump over Biden for president, latest poll shows - WV MetroNews
Brad McElhinny - WV MetroNews 105d 2 tweets
Trump's polling lead, while large, has narrowed from his West Virginia victory over Hillary Clinton.
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Dave Wasserman This poll showing Trump up 53%-39% in West Virginia, a state he won 68%-26% in 2016, might be the most horrific poll I've seen for him all month, and that's saying something. 105d
Early Voting: 20,000 cast ballots in Fulton as officials encourage voting at State Farm Arena - Atlanta INtown Paper
Atlanta INtown Paper 105d 1 tweets
Approximately 20,000 voters cast early ballots in Fulton County on day one of early voting, according to election officials. Fulton County Commission Chairman Rob Pitts called Oct. 12, day one of  19 days of early voting, a success despite minor...
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Dave Wasserman Day two: it's pretty clear that some GA counties have done a better job anticipating & accommodating the historic crush of early voters than others. Fulton Co., the largest Dem vote trove in the state, stands out as a success story. 105d
Log in | The Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report 110d 4 tweets
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Dave Wasserman ICYMI from 's new House overview: Dems poised to expand their majority, perhaps by 5-15 seats, as GOP races to avert a Trump-driven catastrophe. 107d
vpap.org
The Virginia Public Access Project 109d 1 tweets
Your Window into Virginia Politics
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Dave Wasserman Falls Church, VA is already at 50% of its *total* 2016 ballots cast. Neighboring Fairfax County, VA at just 17% b/c of its long early voting lines. 109d
The Trump-Biden presidential contest
Pew Research Center - U.S. Politics & Policy 110d 9 tweets
With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. Today, 52% of registered voters say
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Dave Wasserman New poll: Biden leads 69%-27% among those who plan to vote by mail, Trump leads 63%-31% among those who plan to vote on Election Day. 110d
MIDAS Seminar Series Presents: David Shor, Democratic Data Scientist
YouTube 111d 2 tweets
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Dave Wasserman What would it take for Trump to prove the polls wrong? It would take the phenomenon describes in this excellent talk - but taken to a new, unprecedented extreme. 111d
The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble
Nytimes.com 113d 4 tweets
Each one is in a battleground state. Votes from people there will matter a lot — and offer Joe Biden several paths to victory.
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Dave Wasserman My new op-ed: meet the 10 counties in America that hold the key to President Trump's fate - and illustrate why he's in such deep trouble. 113d
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Dave Wasserman I’ll be live here in 10 minutes (1:30PM ET) discussing my op-ed about the 10 bellwether counties that show Trump is in trouble (bonus points if you tune in from one of the counties) 106d
Don't Defund The Police
Adm0.page.link 118d 1 tweets
Webb for VA CD-05 started airing this Negative ad about Good for VA CD-05 on 09/29/20 in the VA CD-05 2020 General election.
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Dave Wasserman You've got to love this ad from physician Cameron Webb (D) accusing former Campbell Co. Supervisor Bob Good (R) of *actually* defunding the police. rating in #VA05 (Trump +11 in '16): Toss Up. 118d
Log in | The Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report 120d 1 tweets
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Dave Wasserman New: seven more House rating changes at , including five in Democrats' direction. Full analysis ($): 120d