He’s the front-runner. But his opponents still aren’t treating him like one.
Ronald Brownstein"Faced with signs that Bernie Sanders is consolidating his position as the front-runner in the race, the candidates last night chose to focus most of their fire instead at the new guy onstage: Michael Bloomberg." My take from LV.
In short: It would up the chances of a contested convention.
Ronald BrownsteinD moderates may leave NV even more anxious about beating Sanders. While IA & NH tabbed Buttigieg & Amy as fresh-faced alternatives, NV may weaken them & lift Biden. The recalibration could deepen the muddle in the middle w/Bloomberg also looming there.
Ronald BrownsteinNV "seems likely to confirm Sanders’s status as the field’s most formidable contender w/out answering whether he can expand much beyond his base or elevating one of the other candidates as his principal rival."
That could lead to a lengthy war of attrition for the party nomination.
Ronald BrownsteinAll of the Democratic candidates are struggling to appeal to more than a distinct niche in the party. That could produce a lengthy and inconclusive struggle for the nomination. My take from NH.
The party’s new doctrine: What’s good for Trump is good for America.
Ronald BrownsteinLegit question post impeachment: "With the Republicans in thrall to a demagogic leader, will it accept the results if Mr. Trump loses the election? Will Mr. Trump vacate the White House next Jan. 20, or will he claim that the election was a fraud?"
The stakes of tonight’s Iowa caucus are much higher than the candidates seem to think.
Ronald BrownsteinAs @SenSanders has surged in Iowa, the other D contenders have chosen almost entirely not to confront him directly. That’s a huge gamble his coalition is still too small to win it all. My take from IA.
The timing and scale of the attacks suggest the Russians may be looking for the same kind of damaging information on Joe Biden that President Trump wanted from Ukraine, security experts say.
Ronald Brownstein"the Russians could be searching for potentially embarrassing material on the Bidens — the same kind of information that Mr. Trump wanted from Ukraine when he pressed for an investigation of the Bidens and Burisma".
Ronald Brownstein"The partisan and generational struggles for control of the nation’s direction will be decided more and more in the Sun Belt," writes @RonBrownstein
Ronald BrownsteinWhile the big 3 predominantly white Rustbelt battlegrounds-PA MI WI-will likely remain the fulcrum of 2020, new Census data underscore that thru 2020s control of the nation's direction is likely to be decided in the diverse Sunbelt. My take.
Narendra Modi has been emboldened by reelection. Donald Trump could be too.
Ronald BrownsteinPowerful & ominous @Yascha_Mounk w/a global perspective: "Many may assume that Trump’s reelection will bring nothing worse than four more years of the same...[But] When they are reelected, populists nearly always become more radical and more dangerous."
Regardless of which side wins next year, the divide between red and blue America is likely to only grow wider.
Ronald Brownstein"The 2020 election looms as a 'Battle of the Bulge' between a Republican coalition that represents what America has been and a Democratic coalition that embodies what it is becoming."
The small cadre of leftists who see the Democrats as the main enemy oppose impeachment and might help Trump win reelection.
Ronald BrownsteinRead @jonathanchait on Tulsi Gabbard's seemingly inevitable march toward launching an independent presidential candidacy designed to siphon away some left votes & help reelect Trump.