Stefan SchubertMay seem obvious. But people are often overly flattering to individuals or humanity as a whole, and get rewarded for it. And no one seems to pick up on it, unlike re shooting the messenger.
Inspired by this post (though it's a different context).
On 12 March Boris Johnson warned the country that, as a result of Covid-19, “families are going to lose loved ones before their time”, yet took little immediate action to stop the virus spreading. Four days later, on 16 March, his tone was far more...
Stefan SchubertArticle claiming the the UK turned from mitigation to suppression partly because the British public wished for a stricter approach.
As a community, we should think more about how to create and improve our
collective epistemic institutions. With that, I mean the formalized ways of
creating and organizing knowledge in the community beyond individual blogs and
Nine Democratic U.S. senators on Tuesday urged the chief executives of 11 major airlines to issue full cash refunds to customers canceling flights during the coronavirus pandemic after Congress approved $25 billion in cash grants for the hard-hit...
I'm cynical about cynicism. I don't believe that most cynicism is really about
knowing better. When I see someone being cynical, my first thought is that
they're trying to show off their sophistication and assert superiority over the
Stefan Schubert@EPoe187 Right, and this isn't just some funny quirk, but really important both practically and theoretically.
Cf Eliezer Yudkowsky
The tables below show confirmed cases of coronavirus (2019-nCoV, officially known as SARS-CoV-2 or COVID-19) around the world. Scroll down to see a timeline showing all of the recent updates. For news updates, click hereReal-time visualizations,...
Stefan Schubert@robinhanson@tylercowen@LarryChicago Danish professor suggests singles should be released from lockdown first, so they get infected with low dosage. The underlying rationale is similar to Robin's, but the practical implementation is different. (I sent this to Robin previously.)
Recent studies argue that major crises can have long lasting effects on individual behavior. While most studies focused on natural disasters, we explore the consequences of the global pandemic caused by a lethal influenza virus in 1918-19: the...
Stefan Schubert@ATabarrok My guess is that though there were some such effects, overall they weren't that large, and that we should expect the same regarding this pandemic.
Here is one paper, however, claiming it led to lower social trust.
COVID-19: It’s not too late to act | Founders Pledge
Stefan Schubert@nsfaber@hisotalus Sorry, not sure I have good advice.
There is this blog post with donation advice from @FoundersPledge regarding Covid-19 and pandemics, but that may not be the kinds of charities Dr Hannimal is looking for.
The outbreak of SARS coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which occurred in Wuhan, China in December 2019, has caused a worldwide pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, there is a lack of epidemiological tools to guide effective public...
Tutti i numeri del coronavirus in Italia: contagiati, morti, guariti e numero di tamponi. Informazioni per regioni e province fornite dal ministero della Salute.
Stefan SchubertNational-level data hide important sub-national developments. Growth of new cases today:
Italy as a whole: 6.91%
Lodi, Lombardy: 1.15%
Lodi (population 230K) locked down some areas already 21 February, whereas the national lockdown came 9 March.
ICNARC - Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre. Quality data for quality care.
Stefan SchubertInformative report on UK C-19 ICU patients.
21% of ICU patients under 50
79% mechanically ventilated
52% of all ICU patients have survived so far
76% of ICU patients <50 have survived so far
(Mistakes in the Guardian's write-up; removed)
There are several reports of high death counts coming from Lombardy. In Nembro outside Bergamo, a municipality of 11,500, official data says that 31 people have died of Covid-19. However, 158 people...
Stefan Schubert@KarimJebari På flera platser i Italien har man funnit att uppemot 1% av befolkningen sannolikt dött av Covid-19. Det gör teorin om många asymptomatiska patienter, och därigenom låg dödlighet, högst osannolik.