So there are at least two important roles that need to be filled when an accusation of a serious wrongdoing comes out. Firstly, you need people who are capable both of being impartial and of seeming...
Tom ChiversThis @KelseyTuoc post about “advocates and mediators” - people who take claims about injustice at face value and fight for them, and people who analyse and investigate them, and why you need both - is excellent and relevant
An analysis of immune cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 from recovered patients identifies
the regions of the virus that is targeted and also reveals cross-reactivity with other
common circulating coronaviruses
Did you know that 33% of Americans believe that there’s a government conspiracy to cover up the North Dakota crash? This is especially surprising because there was no North Dakota crash. Scientists used it as a control question in a survey about...
Tom Chiversquick thing on that "one in five Britons following the rules less strictly" thing and whether it was Dominic Cummings's fault
Tom ChiversI’ve seen lots of people tweeting that “lockdown is over” but it just isn’t! The percentage of people who have gone out has hardly changed in the last two weeks unherd.com/thepost/did-do…
That said if the more people tweet about lockdown having ended the more likely it is to happen
I. Julian Jaynes’ The Origin Of Consciousness In The Breakdown Of The Bicameral Mind is a brilliant book, with only two minor flaws. First, that it purports to explains the origin of consciou…
Tom ChiversVia this *fascinating* review of Julian Jaynes's classic psychology text, "The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind", which essentially posits that Bronze Age gods were not metaphors but how people heard their internal voices
I. Recently spotted on Tumblr:“This is going to be an unpopular opinion but I see stuff about ppl not wanting to reblog ferguson things and awareness around the world because they do not want negat…
Tom Chiversthis is an old @slatestarcodex piece, but for people who find the world stressful right now, I really recommend reading it slatestarcodex.com/2014/12/19/nob…
(I do not give 10% of my income to effective charity; I should. But I give some and it is probably the most good I do in the word)
Connected to: The Argument from Crisis and Pessimism Bias
When we predict the future, we often seem to underestimate the degree to which
people will act to avoid adverse outcomes. Examples...
It will be hard to track accurately the consequences of the lockdown loosening
Tom ChiversShould we expect a second Covid wave? I did a thing about how we assess the impacts of relaxing lockdown measures and what we can tell from other countries who've done similar things ahead of us
Tom Chiverson the risks of coming out of lockdown, the possibility of a second wave, and changing one variable at a time when you're doing science
Tom ChiversOne last plug for this week's column, on coming out of lockdown and the risks of a second wave
Combining novel setting-specific social contact data from over 40,000 individuals in the UK with a mathematical model of COVID transmission, we compare the potential effects of isolation, contact tracing and physical distancing measures on epidemic...
Another day, another exciting-looking correlation in the world of Covid-19! Researchers at Yale have published a preprint looking at the correlation between the amount of novel coronavirus in sewage and the number of hospital admissions three days...
Tom ChiversOn that “levels of coronavirus in sewage perfectly predict hospital admissions three days later” study. Note that my masters at unherd valiantly resisted using the headline “crap research”