How much could variation in social contacts and susceptibility influence the size of an outbreak (and hence notions of herd immunity)? Well, it depends on a few things... 1/

Thread by @AdamJKucharski: I want to tell you a story about a mathematician you’ve probably never heard of, but whose work has helped shape awe’re taking about today... 1/ While researching my book, I learnt more about Hilda Hudson, who published...

Thread by @AdamJKucharski: This modelling study from Sweden suggests 26% of Stockholm county will have been infected by May 1st (folksets/…). However, our estimates of under-reporting suggest only 5-10% have been infected so far (cmmid.gi…

Thread by @AdamJKucharski: Lots of people are now getting interested in infectious disease epidemiology (which is great), but I wanted to do d on some common mistakes/misunderstandings to watch out for if you're new to these sorts of...

Thread by @AdamJKucharski: A lot of my colleagues in the @LSHTM modelling centre (@cmmid_lshtm) have been working extremely hard to help expa19 evidence base over the past two months. I'd like to take a moment to highlight some of their work... 1/...

As a mathematician, I’ve long been interested in the science of gambling. From lotteries to sports leagues, what is the best strategy…