Anthony McDonnell
Economist researching malaria at Oxford and LSE. I like interesting ideas, fun stories and good policy interventions. All views are my own
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Covid-19 Vaccine Deployment Would Give Global Economy a Lift Next Year
Paul Hannon - WSJ 113d 2 tweets
Gaining a vaccine to help contain the novel coronavirus would provide a big boost to the global economy in 2021, but the initial geographic distribution of that benefit will likely depend on which vaccine candidate works first.
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Anthony McDonnell Some of our work quoted in an excellent Wall St Journal article on what a COVID vaccine could mean for the world economy 112d
When Will We Have a COVID-19 Vaccine? Predictions, Analysis, and Questions Answered
Center For Global Development 117d 9 tweets
Today we launch a new paper that uses mathematical modelling and expert interviews to learn more about COVID-19 vaccine portfolio and generate probabilistic estimates on when we will have a safe and efficacious vaccine and how long will it take for...
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Anthony McDonnell We've written a blog outlining our research on COVID vaccines. Our work suggests we're unlikely to see one in 2020, but very likely to get one approved in 2021, but that manufacturing enough for everyone could take three years. #COVID19 117d
COVID-19 Vaccine Predictions: Using Mathematical Modelling and Expert Opinions to Estimate Timelines and Probabilities of Success of COVID-19 Vaccines
Center For Global Development 117d 17 tweets
We collected publicly available information, interviewed experts, and used our diverse range of expertise to analyse and model the COVID-19 vaccine portfolio in order to generate predictions about the vaccine portfolio's timeline.
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Anthony McDonnell We have spent months interviewing experts and analysing the COVID-19 vaccine portfolio, and rough timelines for when vaccines might be ready (could be a while), excited to share our report! #COVID 117d
COVID-19 Vaccine Predictions: Estimating the Time Before We Approve Efficacious COVID-19 Vaccines
Center For Global Development 130d 11 tweets
Much of the discussion around society’s ability to return to “normality” after the COVID-19 pandemic has centered on the development of a vaccine. This has led to unprecedented collaboration and investment. Vaccine candidate development for COVID-19...
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Anthony McDonnell At and we've spent the last few month interviewing experts and building a model to try and estimate how long it will take to find efficacious #COVID__19 vaccines. Come join us on Oct 2, to hear the results and learn to use our model. 131d
Modelling the Manufacturing Process for COVID-19 Vaccines: Our Approach
Center For Global Development 159d 4 tweets
We are developing a system of interconnected models which represent global manufacturing capability from the start of clinical trials to secondary vaccine manufacture; that is, time from first human trials to finished product ready to be shipped.
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Anthony McDonnell Have co-written a blog outlining how we plan to estimate the time it will take to manufacture COVID-19 vaccines at unprecedented scale. With , 159d
Vaccine Preliminary Results: Here Is Why We Need to Exercise Caution
Center For Global Development 186d 11 tweets
As vaccines complete the different phases of development (pre-clinical, phase I, phase II, phase III, regulatory review, and license), results will be published in the scientific literature and announced to the public through the media and press...
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Anthony McDonnell Leaders, governments, pharmaceutical companies, and the media are overstating the chances of successful COVID vaccine, they’re also overstating how efficacious that vaccine is likely to be. 186d
Ensuring no one is ‘left behind’ in health: an evidence review of constraints and ways forward
ODI 189d 1 tweets
This paper provides a review of impediments to accessing quality healthcare for at-risk groups
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Anthony McDonnell Social, physical and economic barriers stop the world's most disadvantaged from accessing healthcare. In an working paper and I examine these barriers and some solutions for how they can be overcome. #LeaveNoOneBehind 189d
Understanding the Impact Of COVID-19 On Essential Medicine Supply Chains
Center For Global Development 223d 4 tweets
This blog outlines some of the challenges in the global supply of medicines and introduces a methodology that will enable countries to spot early challenges in supply.
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Anthony McDonnell Understanding and mitigating the impact of COVID-19 on essential medicine supply chains is crucial for protecting people's health. Look here at what , and I are doing in a project with #COVID19 223d
What Does Success Look Like for a COVID-19 Vaccine? Improving Portfolio Level Understanding
Center For Global Development 231d 7 tweets
Around the world COVID-19 and the policy responses to it are causing unprecedented disruptions of life and wellbeing. As scientists and governments around the world race to develop a vaccine at scale, we take a look at what a portfolio approach...
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Anthony McDonnell Delighted to share my first blog on why a portfolio analysts would help in the search for a COVID vaccine. #COVID__19 230d
Towards universal health coverage: leaving no one behind
ODI 349d 5 tweets
Exploring the constraints, enabling factors and strategies used in the roll-out of universal health coverage (UHC).
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Anthony McDonnell Looking for something to do this lunch time at we're hosting a webinar examining Universal Health Coverage and how it can be achieved. Join us at at 13:00 BST tomorrow, with , , , and myself reg 👉 #UHC 293d
HPV jab 'should be given to boys'
BBC News 923d 8 tweets
Adolescent boys as well as girls should get the vaccine, an advisory committee says.
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Anthony McDonnell The JCVI's research into the cost effectiveness HPV for boys is fascinating. It also highlights the right way to make decisions around a politically sensitive topic. Hope government accepts recommendations #HPV #JCVI 923d
Antibiotic Resistant Infections Kill More than Car Accidents: A Review of Superbugs
Tracking Zebra 939d 2 tweets
I often say that the biggest infectious disease problem humans face is that of antimicrobial resistance. I am not alone in this assessment and today there are myriad books describing  this problem and its many facets. However, a recent book I read...
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Anthony McDonnell Always nice to read a good review "I recommend Superbugs to those who would like an up-to-date holistic analysis of a pressing public-- and individual -- health threat." thanks #Superbugs #AMR 925d
Superbugs — William Hall, Anthony McDonnell, Jim O'Neill | Harvard University Press
Hup.harvard.edu 1027d 2 tweets
Antibiotics are powerful drugs that can prevent and treat infections, but they are becoming less effective as a result of drug resistance. Superbugs describes this growing global threat, the systematic failures that have led to it, and solutions...
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Anthony McDonnell If you've heard of antibiotic resistance/ superbugs and wonder what they are all about or how we can stop them undermining modern medicine? Well, Will Hall, Jim O'Neill and I have written the book for you. #superbugs #AntibioticResistance 1002d