Trump's approval ratings down 3 points since he fired Comey.
President Trump's approval rating has gotten even worse at the GOP has been debating its tax plan. Now at an all-time low of 36.5% in our tracking.
Trump approval rating continues on a slow but fairly linear decline since the shutdown began. If he's being told this is helping him politically, he's probably not getting good advice.
Trump approval rating today: 42.1% Trump disapproval today: 53.1% (-11.0%) Trump approval one year ago: 41.5% Trump disapproval one year ago: 52.7% (-11.2%) There really hasn't been any change for more than a year, save for a slump around the shutdown.
Trump's approval rating, 42.4 percent, is his highest in more than a year in our tracking. (Since 5/4/17, which was before he fired Comey.)
I feel like we donā€™t talk enough about how unprecedented it is for a president to be this unpopular in his first year.
Had seemed like Trump's approval rating had maybe started to stabilize after his speech this weekend. But it's still getting worse in our tracking.
The new CNN poll has Trump's approval at 42 percent. The average of polls has Trump's approval at ... 41.1 percent. It's been at 40-41 throughout all of March. This is not some kind of major upward surge. Come on, people.
You could *maybe* make the case that Trump's approval rating decline is accelerating a bit. Starting to see more polls with him in the 30's. Day 0 of shutdown (i.e. day before): -10.5 net approval rating Day 9: -11.7 Day 16: -12.7 Day 27 (today): -15.3
This is the highest disapproval rating we've measured for Trump so far, and close to his lowest approval rating.
I'm not totally sure why Trump's approval rating has improved. But the improvement has been persistent enough -- he's been over 40% for most of the past 2 months now -- that I don't think people should regard it as a "blip".
During the weeks of the migrant detention center/concentration camp controversy, Trump's approval went UP a couple of points: I cannot stress enough how much of a tightly sealed bubble we're in. That's about his highest approval since those early months.
Trump's approval rating has been inching upwards over the past ~15 days.
We actually have a Trump approval among voters. It's 44%. His disapproval is 50%.
Trump's net approval rating has now declined from -10.5 to -14.5 over the course of the shutdown. It's not an enormous shift but it's starting to add up: a bit more than a point of net approval lost per week.
I believe this is the first time since Feb that Trump's approval rating in the 538 tracker has dipped below 40%.
In other news this AM, Trump has his lowest approval rating in our tracking since the shutdown.
Trump's approval rating, which spent several weeks above 40%, is back down to 39.4% in our tracking.
Trump's approval rating has been between 40.0% and 41.1% for 55 consecutive days in our tracking. It really doesn't move very much at all. And it's not like there hasn't been news during this period.
And yet meanwhile....
Trump's approval among voters... July 14, 2018: 43%. Election Day 2018: 44%. Today: 43%.
So ... Trump approval is up to 41% and GOP is now down "just" 6 points on the generic ballot. Can someone explain what's happened over the last several weeks?
President Donald Trump has a 42.5% approval rating.
Actually a pretty decent amount of very recent Trump approval rating dataā€”and so far it shows no real change post Mueller report/Barr memo.
Huh, Trump approval is higher and Trump disapproval is lower than either have been since two months into his presidency.
President Donald Trump has a 38.8% approval rating.
Trump approval rating down to 36.6 percent in our tracker, which matches his all-time low.
1/Is Trumpā€™s base holding? Simple answer is no. He received 46%, job approval low 40s now. At least 10% of his voters negative now on his Presidency. Similar shifts in Party ID and Congressional generic.
I donā€™t actually care if Iā€™m in the minority or not. A lie doesnā€™t become true because itā€™s popular. But as it happens Iā€™m part of the majority (52% ) who disapprove of Trump: .
Basically not so far. He's at 41.9% now versus 41.6% a week ago. So *maybe* half a point. Should wait a few more days though.
Trump: "A strange thing is happening: My numbers are going up." Reality:
Trumpā€™s approval rating is below every modern president at this point in office despite a very good economy. Imagine where things will go if we fall into a recession.
The 538 average shows a bit of movement against Trump in the past few weeks. Certainly not *much* movement, but a bit. His net approval rating today is the worst it's been since 4/30.
The most Democratic thing imaginable is having a hand-wringing panic about "electability" when the incumbent president struggles to crack 42% approval.
President Donald Trump has a 37.3% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 39.1% approval rating.
On the approval ratings side, our average never showed the bump in Trump #'s that other sites claimed, and new polls are confirming mediocre numbers for Trump. We currently have him at 41.5%ā€” i.e. about where he's been for most of the past year.
5/ Keeping his base excited by means of polarizing tactics guarantees him control of the GOP, and this gives him a lot of power. He may have only 42% approval overallā¤µļø but he has an iron grip on the GOP. The GOP controls the Senate and lots of states.
Today Trump hit 43 percent approval in 538's aggregate. Last time he was that high? March 17, 2017 -- less than two months after his inauguration.
Trump just slipped below 40 percent approval in the polling averages:
President Donald Trump has a 37.8% approval rating.
FWIW, I know other methods differ, but I think our approval ratings average is pretty good at avoiding false positives, and it isn't seeing anything especially interesting going on with Trump's approval rating.
The president's latest tweet coupled with his last three predecessors' approval (Green) and disapproval (orange) ratings at this point in their first term
President Donald Trump has a 40.1% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 38.5% approval rating.
For a brief moment starting today, Trump is more popular than Ronald Reagan was at this point in his presidency
President Donald Trump has a 41.8% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 38% approval rating.
We donā€™t have post-shutdown polling yet (I reckon a rebound is coming) but Trumpā€™s approval has continued to slide. Itā€™s now the worst since Jan 2018.
I usually wait until there's been a full point's worth of change before noting a shift in Trump's approval rating, but he does appear to have recovered a bit post-shutdown. Now at 40.1, after having bottomed out at 39.3.
President Donald Trump has a 41.4% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 41.4% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 41.5% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 38% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 42.9% approval rating.
Since March 24, when Barrā€™s summary of the Mueller report Changed Everything, the presidentā€™s approval rating has moved from 42.1 percent to 42.0 percent.
President Donald Trump has a 40.7% approval rating.
Dear World, The majority of Americans regret that is President. #amjoy
President Donald Trump has a 42.1% approval rating.
I'm an elections person... I care about how Trump is doing among voters. The average poll looks the same as it has. About 43% approval, 53% disapproval.
President Donald Trump has a 41.4% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 41.9% approval rating.
Trumpā€™s approval is way up in the last few weeks: -41% here: -CNN poll has him higher than at any point since the 100-day mark: -Gallupā€™s at 40:
President Donald Trump has a 41.9% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 41.2% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 40.6% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 42.2% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 42.4% approval rating.
President Donald Trump has a 42.2% approval rating.
Amidst all the gloom, one chink of light. Trump's approval ratings are falling off a cliff.
How popular is President Donald Trump?
President Donald Trump has a 41.8% approval rating.
How popular is President Donald Trump?
Clinton's approval rating in the spring of 1998 was around over 60%. Trump's approval rating is around 40%.
_ Remember: More than half of Americans disapprove of Trumpā€™s Presidency () ā€¢
Reminder: almost no oneā€™s opinion about Trump has changed in ages. Nothing Trump did this week or last week or the one before led to any big shifts in his approval. I think of this as the second most depressing graph in existence right now. (Source: )
How Donald Trumpā€™s approval rating compares with past US president:
_ Periodic reminder that more than half of Americans disapprove of the VSG ā€¢
Who the f**k are these 40% Bible-thumping, gun-toting, cousin-humping, cow-tipping, tea-bagging losers and their inbred wives who still support Trump? Wait... I answered my own question.
Trump disapprove minus approve is at 12.7 points now, widest gap since late April. Something there is that doesn't love a wall, or a shutdown.
Donald Trumpā€™s approval rating is 41.4%. Ronald Reaganā€™s approval at same point in presidency was 41.1% ā¦ā¦ā©
President Donald Trump has a 42.4% approval rating.
how do his policies become less popular while his own popularity remain stable? He is about as popular now as most of are recent presidents were into their first terms
Meanwhile Trump hits 41.2 percent approval, which is close to his high over the past 12 months.
Nope, it's the voters who support him (and will support others like him). Trump still has 37.8% approval rating:
President Donald Trump has a 39.1% approval rating.
How popular is ? An updating calculation of the president's approval rating:
This is the highest disapproval rating we've measured for Trump so far.
Trump's approval ratings have recovered a bit since hitting lows after AHCA mess.
I try not to get hung up no individual approval polls, but the average has Trump rapidly declining to a new low
Not much recovery in Trump approval numbers. Some in Gallup, but he remains at or near all-time lows in other polls.
How popular is ? An updating calculation of the president's approval rating:
President Donald Trump has a 38.4% approval rating.
Ladies and gentleman, we have CONFIDENCE INTERVAL SEPARATION! šŸš€šŸš€šŸš€
President Donald Trump has a 38.2% approval rating.
Trump's approval rating has improved by 2 points or so since Hurricane Harvey.
Hey! For his 200th day in office, Donald Trump got....below Bill Clinton's all-time low by 538's estimate
We have Trump's approval at 38.6%. A bit toward the lower end of where he's been recently, but overall quite steady.
Trump has set a new record: 55.1% disapprove. Paris may not decide elections, retreating & showing your a fool does.
Trump at his highest disapproval rating yet (56.1%) in our tracking. Lowest approval (38.0%) was on 6/9.
President Donald Trump has a 37.6% approval rating.
Trump's approval numbers haven't really budged since Charlottesville.
Some slightly better approval numbers for Trump lately.
Trump falls below 40% approval for the first time in our average -->
Here's a hypothesis for you to chew on: Will Trump's approval rating decline in the wake of the election on the theory that the one thing his image cannot sustain is losing badly? My guess is yes.
Trump approval rating: Before shutdown: 42.2% approve / 52.7% disapprove (-10.5% net) Current: 41.2% approve / 53.5% disapprove (-12.3% net)
On the one hand, Trump's approval rating in our average (40.7%) is now the lowest its been since April. On the other hand, it's never been higher than 42.7% in that period, so we aren't talking big movement.
Trump approval down from ~43% to ~41% since the Ukraine story broke.
Very few people changing their mind either way about Trump. Trump's average approval/disapproval: June 25, 2017: 39.6% approve, 55.2% disapprove. Eight months later, Feb. 25, 2018: 39.1% approve, 55.6% disapprove. And the range over that period is narrow.
Despite all the news, Trump's approval rating is still at ... 42%, pretty much the same as it always is.
Contrary to pro-Trump spin, Trump has had no post-"exoneration" bounce. March 24, the day of the Barr letter, Trump: 42.1% approve, 52.9% disapprove. Today, Trump: 41.9% approve, 53.1% disapprove. And it's more likely than not downhill for Trump from here.
Trump approval (which has been getting better for the GOP) and the generic ballot (which has been getting worse) have now converged. We have Trump approval at -9.6 in all polls or -8.0 in polls of LV/RV only. GOP is down 8.4 on the generic ballot.
Trump approve/disapprove: July 30: 42.8%-52.5%. August 30: 41.3%-54.2%.
FYI: On election day 2018, Trump's approval/disapproval was 41.8% vs. 52.8%. Today it's 42.0% vs. 53.3%.
If you have a method like 538's that corrects for house effects, the swings tend to be smaller. We adjust for the fact that Rasmussen usually has good numbers for Trump and Quinnipiac usually has bad ones, for instance.
Always hard to tell because it always seems to be bounded within such a narrow range. But perhaps a downtick in Trump approval lately.
Sure does seem like ~42% is some sort of steady state for Trump's approval rating.
Has Trump's political standing strengthened in recent months? On election day 2018, when Democrats won 10 million more votes for the House than Republicans, Trump's approve/disapprove was 42.0%-52.8%. Today it's a virtually identical 42.2%-53%.
Trump back below 40% approval again in the 538 tracker for the first time since February 1.
The basic problem with any kind of ā€œTrump as messaging geniusā€ take.
Trumpā€™s approval rating recovery is real, but I also think kinda overhyped given this context.
This week marks two months since the end of the Mueller investigation. According to 538's poll tracker, the president's approval has changed since then from 41.9% to 41.8%.
p.s. That's among polls of all adults. Among polls of *voters*, he's at 41/42-ish percent approval. But that's down from 43/44-ish percent before.
Data available here
It has been a month since Trumpā€™s tweets against ā€œthe squad.ā€ Since then his approval in the 538 tracker has dropped from 43% toā€¦ uh, 42%.
How Popular Is Donald Trump? | FiveThirtyEight
Congrats to , whose aggregate polling average has now fallen below the 40 percent mark on . Winning!
Donald Trump won with 3 million less votes than his opponent. He's remained throughout 525 days the least popular president in ages (less than Nixon). And somehow we're gonna teach other countries how to Democracy?
10 days on from the agreement to end the shutdown, we're not yet seeing signs Trump's regaining any of the approval rating ground he lost.
And in case you are wondering, survey of surveys shows essentially the same numbers
At 54.4 percent, Trump disapproval in the average now just barely at its worst post-shutdown level.
Trump hits 42.6 percent approval in 538's aggregate, highest since late May.
When you come into office with a +4 approval rating and turn it into a -13, I would call that persuasive.
_ Always worth remembering that the Very Stable Genius is not very popular with Americans
Trump's Carter-esque 42% approval rating is a huge problem for Democrats, because it might not be low enough to overcome the effects of gerrymandering. This is insane
In @538politicsā€™ average of opinion polls, the disapproving majority has steadily grown during the last five weeks to more than 55%, higher than itā€™s been in a year.
Your daily reminder that is just as popular or, if you prefer, unpopular, as he was on Inauguration Day 2017
Interesting infographic of president's approval ratings over time (as compared to Trump in green)
FWLIW (very little) @538 Trump approval now shows new low approval (36.4%) and tied for highest disapproval (57.5%).
I find Americansā€™ binary regard for Trump weird. Nothing moves the needle. 53.6% now disapprove and 41.5% approveā€”almost exactly the median for 18 months now, with approval never dipping below 39% or above 43%, approval never above 56% or below 51%.
I wouldn't have predicted Trump would hit his highest approval rating in nine months over the past week.
So.. lowest approval ratings of any president Highest disapproval ratings of any president. -Hes still doing better than I expected though. I expected him to do to the US what he did for Trump casinos/ Trump University FAR quicker!
The Dems aren't going to win much in these midterms, look at Trump's approval rating. If Trump has as bad a poll effect as we saw in his election, he's above average for a US President...which is basically unbelievable to me. No midterm backlash this time?
For the first time since 2x in September 2018, Trump dips below 40% in 's aggregate today. Those were brief lows. Does he keep going down this time? Next Marker: Lowest ever recorded was 36.4% (12/17). Does he break through THAT floor?
Striking the lack of any effect due to tax bill
The election is long over. Still craving a political sentiment tracker w/ daily Bayesian updating?
Gallup -5%, Ipsos -2%, Lucid -3%, Rasmussen +2% Hard to guess why: Supports pedophile Tweets doctored fascist video Increases taxes on normal Americans Castrates Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Proposal to destroy internet freedom Trump Russia
How popular is Donald Trump?
Trump (dis)approval rating watch. After his approval hit 40.2% on 538's weighted average, it has gone steadily down. Now at 38.5%. Disapproval back up to 56.2% Govt shutdown? Porn star? Regression to mean?
Don't make conclusions based on a single poll. However, it seems to have made an upward tick in the overall graph
Trump's approval rating is now back to the same as it was before the release of the Mueller report, which *may* have caused about a 0.5% temporary dip.
Trumpā€™s lowest net approval rating coincided with Charlottesville: Bidenā€™s entry corresponds to a potential post-Mueller return to similar levels, but (despite individual polls) not yet there
See the difference between all polls and polls of adults. Who knew kids, dogs, and cows had such an effect
_ Never forget: Trump is in popular with Americans, 53% of Americans disapprove of him as president ā€¢ ā€˜Fantastically positiveā€™: Government tries to smooth over Trumpā€™s Brexit bust-up via
Trump's Net Approvals just hit a new low--lowest for any president in the history of this sort of polling.
Trump ties all-time low in FiveThirtyEight approval tracker: 39.8%
For the first time, Trump's net approvals just dipped below -20%.
Interesting comparatives here and why itā€™s not good to make too much of 100 days.
Also of note, Trump's approval rating is the highest it's been in 45 days... Still only 42.4% though
Trump heads into this Comey crisis with weak approval numbers.
The one graph I keep looking at when I want to convince myself that truth and common sense will prevail in the US
I have no idea why thinks he has a 50% approval rating. It's below 40%. #alternativefacts? #idiot
Rasmussen's "pool of likely voters" appears to be people currently using the swimming pool at the Trump Hotel.
Trump's support is pretty low, but it's amazing how steady it is compared to past presidents. Has anyone explained why?
Polls of likely and registered voters show new records. Weak Trump disapproval: 56% Ignorant Trump approval: 39%
Like, heā€™s not in terrible shape but this isnā€™t bulletproof either. What happens if he gets impeached and runs against someone who isnā€™t Hillary Clinton? Iā€™m surprised everyoneā€™s so confident just because he survived the Billy Bush tape
How popular is Donald Trump? FiveThirtyEight is tracking his approval ratings.
Trump is not particularly unpopular among the public.
In history today, Clinton's net approvals reached their low ebb. Trump's NAs are 3 points lower than that.
Trump approval at 36.8%, as compared with 37.6% pre-Charlottesville. Disapproval at 57.0%, versus 56.3%.
The evolution of Trump's approval rating since firing Comey does not exactly suggest a Beltway tempest in a teapot.
Trump approval/disapproval ratings on... Feb. 7: 45/49 March 7: 44/49 Apr. 7: 40/54 May 7: 42/52 June 7: 39/56
now has T approval at 39.9%, first time below 40% since Feb. 27. It's not that the daily perturbations matter so much, but that the tendency is clearly down, down, down.
538 aggregate graph of Trump (dis)approval polling for likely and registered voters. Source: Let's hope the curve soon will become more complicated again.
Trump approval has been remarkably stable for around 40-42% now for 10 months. Before that he had a period of steadily increasing popularity from its nadir around 37% about a year ago. I still think a recession could truly damage him, but... wow
It seems to hurt Trump. If you ask people what to spend 5 billion on, only 19% selects the stupid wall. Still the best politics is probably to give Trump is wall funding (it is anyway far from enough). He needs it & will be willing to pay a big price.
The estimated job approval has Trump roughly where Carter, Ford, Truman and Reagan were at this point in their presidencies. Quite a range of outcomes there for re-election bids (and midterms).
The 20-point gap is a bit of a cherry pick . There is a bit of an arch to the approval polls but theyā€™re noisy & seldom far from 54-40.
I thought last week's events only confirmed what we already knew, but they do seem to influence the polls of Trump's popularity. It is work to know what is true in America.
A US President's net approval rating at this point in the first term has little (if any) correlation with being re-elected.
Could the stability of #DonaldTrump's approval in light of #MichaelCohen #StormyDaniels etc be (in part) that folks are impressed he has a model wife and cheated on her with a porn star? Esp when he was 59 yrs old.
If you look at Trump's polling history, Republicans who were luke-warm on him seem to mostly have cared about tax cuts (signed 12/22/2017)
Trump popularity now edges past both Reagan and Clinton at same point in presidency.
at this point in their presidencies, both Reagan and Clinton had the same net approval numbers as Trump today -- and they were reelected 6 years later.
It is often hard to connect changes in Trump's popularity to what he does. The last 24 days it seems to work. #Shutdown
Incompetent Trump hits a new low approval. The main thing Trump still has going for himself is that he is at least not a Democrat. If leading democrats would stand for policies popular with the population, rather than the donors/media Trump would be gone.
On 538's (complex) measurement, Trump's approval is at a new post-inauguration low, 36.5%. His disapproval is at 57.4%, 0.1% below its highest. Prior extremes were early Aug.