Post debate, Kamala Harris has officially taken over 3rd place in the RCP National Average, dropping Warren to 4th.
Here is where the candidates on stage tonight stand in aggregate polling on RCP as of today. Now tell me this isn't a joke. Biden 32.2 Harris 10.8 Yang 1.8 Booker 1.7 Castro 1.0 Gabbard 0.8 Gillibrand 0.5 DeBlasio 0.5 Bennet 0.2 Inslee 0.0
This is complete BS. Sanders was polling at 19-20% in the RCP average at the end of April, and he's at 17.3% now. Rather than surging, he's lost a couple points.
Sanders's announcement bounce seems to have faded, as he's back to polling in the low 20s or high teens instead of the mid/high 20s.
Well, *somebody* is going to win the nomination. Progressive wing big. Combine Sanders/Harris/Warren and you get 43 percentage points, to Biden's 28.
Warren and Harris have something in common today: Only two Dems with their highest polling yet in the RCP average. Sanders is down 8.8 points from his peak, Biden is down 14.2 points (!) from his own peak.
Elizabeth Warren is now ahead of Bernie Sanders in the RealClearPolitics average of the polls.
Biden’s lead now in RCP average almost what it was before first Dem debate
In today's poll average, Biden has fully regained all the support he lost in the aftermath of the first debate. 32% before. 32% now. Of course, now he has to survive the second debate.
In 7th place according to combo of polls
For a while, national Dem race had a Big Four--Biden, Sanders, Warren, Harris. Now, looks like a Big Three, with Harris joining Buttigieg in a second tier before the dropoff to everybody else. From
There was a school of thought that said Joe Biden would begin to fall in polls the moment he announced, that his first day in the race would be his best day. I thought that. Was totally wrong. Just the opposite has happened. From RCP average:
Put another way, in RCP average, Biden support greater than Warren, Harris, Buttigieg, O'Rourke, Booker, Klobuchar, Castro, Yang, Gabbard, Ryan, Williamson put together.
From RCP, Biden lead stabilizes for moment at 18.5 points over Sanders, 26 over Warren, 27.5 over Harris, 29.2 over Buttigieg.
Warren 'has been rising like a rocket in the polls," says Farhad Manjoo. She's gone from 6 percent in RCP average in December 2018 to ... 8 percent today.
RCP average: Biden 29.0 Sanders 22.0 Harris 11.3 Warren 7.0 Booker 5.8 O'Rourke 5.3 Klobuchar 3.7 Hickenlooper 1.0 Castro 0.8 Gabbard 0.8 Gillibrand 0.5 Inslee 0.5
My apologies, Gillibrand is actually at 0.5 percent.
Maybe the Democratic tiers are: 1) Biden; 2) Sanders, Warren, Harris; 3) Buttigieg; and 4) everybody else.
Biden was beating Warren 39-8 less than two months ago. Latest poll says it's 26-16. Tell me again how he's such a great candidate.
Sure looks like Biden is taking supports from Sanders in particular. Anyone have a theory why?
watching surge in the polls is so exciting
Really interesting to see Harris's numbers not just overtake Warren's but completely cannibalize Biden's since the debates:
Lesson learned: Mess with Texas, pay the price. I respect your commitment to #Beto2020. But these #s are bleak - For Beto, DeBlasio, Castro & all below them. I'd like Beto on US stage & Senate seems his best shot, despite good Dems in race. Good luck y'all