Estimating epidemic incidence and prevalence from genomic data
Abstract. Modern phylodynamic methods interpret an inferred phylogenetic tree as a partial transmission chain providing information about the dynamic process o
Infectious disease epidemiology aims to better understand the changing dynamics of an outbreak over time. Could genomic data help estimates of disease prevalence and incidence?
This is so far one of the longest papers in the making, but alas, there is light! We collectively learned a lot along the way about how the different components of the population dynamic models influence the phylogenetic likelihood.
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟🇦🇺
Estimating epidemic incidence and prevalence from genomic data #Ebola