Climate skeptics and deniers have often accused scientists of exaggerating the threat of climate change, but the evidence shows that not only have they not exaggerated, they have underestimated.
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change - Scientific American Blog Network ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩ ⁦
. knows her stuff. Fossil fuel industry front groups have been using words like “alarmist” and mocking the science, when in fact results are on the danger side of the consensus models.
“Consistent underestimation is a form of bias, which raises the question: what is causing this bias in scientific analyses of the climate system?”
There's a bias in scientific analyses of the climate -- of UNDERESTIMATING climate change. When new observations have provided more or better data, the findings for ice, sea level rise and ocean temps have generally been worse than earlier views.
Opinion: Scientists have been underestimating the pace of climate change. A book titled "Discerning Experts" explains why—and what can be done about it
Demand for consensus leads scientists to underestimate the severity of climate change threats and the rapidity with which they might unfold. #TellTheTruth We’re in a #ClimateCrisis
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change
Climate change has not been exaggerated, it's been underestimated. The current admin is in the process of rolling back 89 environmental standards. Enough is Enough. Mother Earth will cease to weep, and unleash her fury. #OneVoice1 #OneVoiceEarth
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of #ClimateChange Exciting Book: "Discerning experts explain why—and what can be done about it" About to order your new book #ClimateEmergency #EcologicalBreakDown #ClimateCrisis via
A disturbing new book by & co-authors lays out how scientists have underestimated the pace of #climatechange. It's not intentional error, but nonetheless means we are in graver danger than we knew. #ExtinctionRebellion #ClimateEmergency
Good overview of this disturbing phenomenon
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change A book titled Discerning Expertsexplains why—and what can be done about it
#ClimateChange & its impacts are emerging faster than scientists previously thought “Consistent underestimation is a form of bias [...], which raises the question: what is causing this bias in scientific analyses of the climate system?” #1o5C Emergency
"the push for univocality, the belief that conservatism is socially and politically protective, and the reluctance to make estimates at all when the available data are contradictory—can lead to “least common denominator'' results"
"But we did find that scientists tend to underestimate the severity of threats and the rapidity with which they might unfold." Dale Jamieson & discuss their superb and alarming new book, DISCERNING EXPERTS #ClimateCrisis
climate skeptics accuse scientists of exaggerating threats of climate change, but evidence shows that not only have they not exaggerated, they have underestimated. Scientists Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change - Scientific American Blog Network
More sobering climate science supporting calls of our Pacific Leaders to take action on our planetary climate crisis/emergency. Australia are you listening? #OurOceanOurFuture Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change via
Recent dara shows that the "scientists consensus" may have been underestimating the pace of climate change Interesting discussion on possible reasons for that bias
I’ll be interested to see how IPCC scientists react to this full-on attack on their biases, motivations & judgment from Oreskes, Oppenheimer & Jamieson. Amazing how IPCC has gone from darling of climate advocates to a major obstacle to action ⤵️
Due to the strong lobby of the climate change denialists and consequent desire to not appear alarmist, scientists have been too careful in reporting climate change, resulting in them underestimating the gravity and pace of the change. #ClimateCrisis
Yup, climate science is inherently *conservative*: "Scientists have been underestimating the pace of climate change" , & Dale Jamieson in
Google “climate change faster than expected” and you get swamped by the enormous number of hits. This is a huge bias. Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change | | RT
Excellent short explainer here from and co-authors of why scientific assessments, including climate assessments, tend to settle on the least common denominator. Look forward to reading the book!
"When new observations of the climate system have provided more or better data, or permitted us to reevaluate old ones, the findings for ice extent, sea level rise & ocean temperature have generally been worse than earlier prevailing views" #climatechange
An important and interesting finding—although i wonder how this squares with the fact that security, and especially terrorism, experts tend to suffer from the opposite problem, of threat inflation.
IPCC & other assessments - how its done, how to do it better: Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change via
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change via
New essay by ⁦⁩ and colleagues, unpacking why international assessments have consistently underestimated the pace and risks of climate change.
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change via
"First, climate skeptics and deniers have often accused scientists of exaggerating the threat of climate change, but the evidence shows that not only have they not exaggerated, they have underestimated." #ClimateCrisis #ClimateChangeIsReal #ClimateStrike
A lucid analysis on how the search for consensus among scientists has led to an underestimation of the pace of #ClimateChange. It seems things are even worse than we thought.
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change - Scientific American Blog Network
"[C]limate skeptics and deniers have often accused scientists of exaggerating the threat of climate change, but the evidence shows that not only have they not...
great analysis of how the policy aspect of climate science leads to scientists consistently underestimating the effects of climate change.
This is important to keep in mind next time you see a big environmental assessment (e.g. climate change, biodiversity loss) in the headlines. By construction, it's an underestimate of how bad things really are.
Interesting piece on an unusual form of bias: an entire field was biased by a need to appear united; a consensus bias. I imagine the (unintuitive) takeaway is that the presence of many dissenting views is an important canary for correctness.
The best thing about #science is that it's willing to correct itself when it receives new data. Unfortunately, new data confirms what many of us were hypothesizing: #ClimateChange is occurring much faster than scientists predicted. ADJUST YOUR LIFE NOW.
#ClimateChange WAS UNDERESTIMATED. Stop having children Stop flying Buy an electric car Get to higher ground Convert to renewable energy Reduce/eliminate meat consumption Eliminate all red meat Instead of gifts, offset with . #ClimateCrisis
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change - "climate skeptics & deniers have often accused scientists of exaggerating threat of climate change, but evidence shows that not only have they not exaggerated, they have underestimated."
Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change, per Scientific American