Really really appreciate this piece on Buddy Garrity Republicans: the Trump base of small business owners and other relatively high income people without college degrees
i've been screaming this since 2017 and i'm glad there's more empirical support for it
"The surge of whites into the Republican Party has been led by whites with relatively high incomes...but without college degrees...." We find the same thing with Bolsonaro support in Brazil!
Nice to see that people are finally catching up to what I've been saying about far-right support since <checks notes> 2016
Lesson: First check to see if you're just being messaged for background info, or for citation... Despite my horror, this is a good article. Turns out that political scientists know helpful stuff
This is really interesting. (It's technically an opinion piece, but largely focussed on data.) We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is
“The surge of whites into the GOP has been led by whites with relatively high incomes—in the top 2 quintiles of the income distribution—but without college degrees, a constituency that is now decisively committed to the GOP.” via ⁦
this graph seems to show that yes in fact low-income whites are a huge part of Trumps success
Thomas B. Edsall on how Trump's support depends on low-education whites who have relatively high incomes.
We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is
"from 2010-2018, whites w/o a college degree grew from 50 to 59% of all the Rep. Party’s voters, while whites w/college degrees fell from 40% to 29%" "High-income whites w/o college degrees were swing voters 60 years ago... now, they are rock-ribbed Rs"
Opinion | We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is - The New York Times
"The data points to the devastating consequences of declining union membership for the Democratic Party." New research by Kitschelt & Rehm on the changing partisan allegiances of non-college whites
"The ‘white working class’ (low-education/low-income white voters) isn't who has realigned R. It’s higher income/low education whites who're still doing well but fear shrinking life chances as high education is increasingly the ticket to economic success"
Finally, some nuance in the debate about White Support for Trump
We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is
Opinion | We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is - The New York Times
"Kitschelt and Rehm find that the surge of whites into the Republican Party has been led by whites with relatively high incomes — in the top two quintiles of the income distribution" in
It's not the low-education/low-income white population that has most ardently realigned toward Republicans. It’s higher income/low education whites who are still doing well but fear the growing importance of higher education to economic and social success.
Let’s reboot Lassallean takes on the petty bourgeoisie.