Extraordinarily comprehensive study of free will intuitions across cultures by Ivar Hannikainen and colleagues 20 cultures, 5,268 participants, beautiful design and analyses. This paper feels pretty decisive.
For whom does determinism undermine moral responsibility? A cross-cultural, cross-linguistic study (N=5268) spanning 20 countries across cultures: greater cognitive reflection associated with the view that free will is incompatible with causal determinism