Something to keep in mind in the coming couple of weeks: we believe from modeling estimates from case data () and from phylodynamics () that epidemic doubling time is about 7 days. 1/4
One of the most important unknowns in the #nCoV2019 epidemic is the total number of _infections_ as opposed to _cases_, as there may be many mild infections that do not rise to case definition. I sought to address this with phylodynamic methods here: 1/9
Phylodynamic estimation of incidence and prevalence of novel coronavirus (nCoV) infections through time basically inferred num of infections using genome data. anyone worked on this since mid-Feb? #COVID2019