Why reporting *estimated* COVID-19 infections rather than just confirmed cases might save lives
Day after day we see startling and quickly rising numbers of confirmed COVID-19 infections. They’re scary. But the true scope of the…
Reporting est’d COVID-19 cases sounds good but bc of a) patchy testing, b) unknown % who never develop symptoms, c) unknown # w mild symptoms, we still can’t go from confirmed -> estimated cases w any certainty at all. We need serology.
300K *confirmed* cases in the U.S. but the # of actual cases is likely in the millions since only ~ .3% of pop. has been tested.
and I argue that reporting *estimated* #COVID19 infections rather than just confirmed cases might save lives.
#Amen & thanks
, reminds me of saying: "Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful." Yes, let's share any #information that can #SaveLives
#COVID19 #BeSafeDC #WashingtonDC #SocialDistancing
The argument for reporting the estimates of the total COVID-19 cases and deaths via
Why reporting *estimated* COVID-19 infections rather than just confirmed cases might save lives by
decision-making in the COVID era: three essays with the amazing