“Research by the epidemiologists Britta and Nicholas Jewell suggests that 90 percent of COVID-19 deaths in the United States could have been prevented by enacting social distancing policies two weeks earlier than we did.”
“Tragically, what seems to have put New York on such a different trajectory from San Francisco was that its leaders were so late to shut down public life.”
It's really hard to read this: "Research by the epidemiologists Britta and Nicholas Jewell suggests that 90 percent of COVID-19 deaths in the United States could have been prevented by enacting social distancing policies two weeks earlier than we did."
The city is not the problem.
Today, Slate is up with an excellent piece that distills why 11,000+ deaths in New York City was NOT inevitable. It's a lie that density alone explains the suffering. Denser places around the world are fine. And sparsely populated areas are struggling.
Nothing about New York City's outbreak was inevitable.
1. Here is the toxin of our time -- blame disguised as truth telling. “Tragically, what seems to have put New York on such a different trajectory from San Francisco was that its leaders were so late to shut down public life.”
Interesting and, going forward, reassuring argument about NYC: ⁦⁩ ⁩argues it was DiBlasio and Cuomo’s slowness to act more than the nature of the city that let the epidemic spiral out of control.
Yes, New Yorkers live in close proximity. That’s not what made the outbreak so bad.
1/ Lots of takes that density is to blame for #COVID19 spread. Yet some of the densest cities in the world have been effective containing the virus & low density areas have been hit. It’s not about density but rather competent govt response or lack of.
Yes, New Yorkers live in close proximity. That’s not what made the outbreak so bad.
V good read on NYC
"Like any misdiagnosis, this one will make it harder to find the cure. A cursory look at a map shows that New York City’s coronavirus cases aren’t correlated with neighborhood density at all"
"The most exceptional thing about NYC is its leaders’ belief that the city is unique. This presumption served first as a reassurance that NY would not follow Lombardy’s example, and later as the reason why it had." via
Nothing about New York City's outbreak was inevitable. “if New York had shut things down earlier, it could have cut the death toll by as much as 80 percent”