Why Most Post-Pandemic Predictions Will Be Totally Wrong
Just examine all the predictions we made during 9/11 and the Great Recession
This is a good caution about people confidently proclaiming how the pandemic will change society long-term:
tl;dr predictions are hard, especially about the future
When people say that coronavirus will show America the value of social democracy or the benefits of libertarianism or the virtue of nationalism, they’re not really “predicting” anything — they’re trying to argue that people *should* embrace these ideas.
This is a good piece. But one thing I’ve been thinking about since re-reading my
is we should probably distinguish predictions that are genuinely meant to predict from a certain style of persuasive writing.
To my point