Three charts on why I think we are still in the early days of the pandemic and why I'm very pessimistic about the coming months.
1/ The number of daily new cases is rising continuously in many large countries.
[Source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/XwbT7Y99N0
The rate of cases in the US is now 20-times higher than in the EU.
The US is not looking worse because of testing. In fact every country in Europe is now testing better than the US (see next tweet).
[source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/sKiT6YN3aP
Without data we can not understand the pandemic.
And so we set ourselves the goal of building the most helpful global dashboard to understand what is happening.
Now it is out: OurWorldInData.org/Coronavirus-Da…
👇A thread on what you can do with our new #COVID19 Data Explorer.
An update on the comparison between the EU and the US.
The population of the US is 330 million
The population of the EU is 446 million
[The source is our Data Explorer where you can view deaths, tests and more
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/DnW3T0YKYZ
Even after only 10 months: the differences between countries are very, very large.
These are the 10 countries that suffered the worst death rate from #COVID19 in comparison with 10 countries that had a low death rate.
[source with all countries: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/mdevHFvkKc
It is not true that all countries failed.
The very opposite stands out, while some suffer prolonged outbreaks, others responded very well and prevented large outbreaks or turned them around quickly.
→ All countries, all metrics in our Data Explorer: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/PKfn0A51v3
One way to see just how fast the pandemic is spreading now: In the last week the world confirmed 1.5 million cases –– more cases in one week than in the entire pandemic up to April 9.
[source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/61q1Ab0OKq
The rise of confirmed cases in Europe is very rapid.
– This is showing the 7-day rolling average. Over the last week 138,500 cases were confirmed every day.
– The doubling time of confirmed cases for Europe as a whole is two weeks.
[interactive source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/YIUHcZi3rl
The differences in the death rate across European countries are very large.
This is a screenshot from our new Data Explorer, there you can add any other country in the world you are interested in ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/pwGJa1usp6
Some countries suffered a terrible pandemic. The chart shows those with that suffered the highest death rate.
[The full list you find here ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…]
But on the other hand there are other countries that did much better.
This is great because it means… pic.twitter.com/njdlOwMkbQ
Worldwide there are 13 countries that have suffered a cumulative death rate higher than 500 per million.
5 countries in Europe:
UK
Sweden
Belgium
Italy
Spain
and 8 countries in the Americas:
Peru
Bolivia
USA
Chile
Brazil
Ecuador
Mexico
Panama
[Source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/tAX3PtlNKk
Following data corrections by Peru and the United Kingdom this week, here is an up-to-date version of our chart of cumulative confirmed deaths per million people, for the 10 countries hardest hit by COVID-19.
[Source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/DdBXimeWiP
Of all the European countries it is now the UK that has the highest rate of confirmed deaths due to #COVID19.
[This chart is made with our new interactive Coronavirus Data Explorer ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/gwmQ3u8vSv
Here is how the death rates compare. Shown is the average over the last week.
Because deaths are following cases I’d expect that after the recent divergence in case rates we’ll see divergence in death rates in the weeks ahead.
[source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/PVV1PQT1FU
There's been lots of attention on Sweden for being a contrary nation w/ regard to policy. But not a great deal on Australia, which has been contrary w/ regard to outcome. We may have the lowest per capita death rate of any Western nation (lower than NZ) ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/DvF46Mm0G0
Worldwide 800,000 people are confirmed to have died of COVID-19 by now.
Most of the victims – 22% – were Americans.
(The US accounts for only 4% of the world population.)
[→ all data for all countries: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/rbC6bEcmUe
Current doubling times in European countries:
• In Spain cases doubled in the last month
• In France in the last 3 weeks
• In Austria & Hungary in the last 10 days
• In the Czech Republic in the last week
[Our source (with global data): ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/Wxo1BLbL2l
How do the rates of confirmed deaths due to #COVID19 compare across Scandinavia?
→ This is a screenshot of our new @OurWorldInData Data Explorer where you compare the data on testing, cases, and deaths for all countries in the world.
→ Here it is:
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/zvLdMraAJU
And the USA in comparison with several European countries which successfully bent the curve.
The US also had the advantage of having a later outbreak than all of them.
[in our Explorer you can compare with all countries in the world ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/zM1qTWRP6u
The UK was in a better position to respond well to the pandemic because the outbreak happened much later: In March it took 14 days until the UK was at the same rate as Italy.
But sadly the UK didn’t respond well and now caught up with Italy.
[source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/9UmWFLvWzl
All of @OurWorldInData's data on COVID-19 testing has just been updated.
Latest positive rates in Western Europe:
🇪🇸 Spain: 12.3%
🇫🇷 France: 8%
🇳🇱 Netherlands: 6%
🇧🇪 Belgium: 4.2%
🇵🇹 Portugal: 3.6%
🇮🇹 Italy: 2.9%
🇬🇧 UK: 2.2%
🇩🇪 Germany: 1.1%
(Source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…) pic.twitter.com/py8O6DKWI6
The two centers of the outbreak are now the Arabian Peninsula and South America.
Nine of the ten countries that currently report more than 100 new cases per million people per day are in these two regions.
[Source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/Qg2PsOU0O1
The number of deaths in the EU keep on falling.
The current average of 81 deaths per day in the last week is the lowest death count since the start.
[source (including data for all other regions in the world) ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/teaEfcONRR
This map shows the share of tests that are positive; that’s the metric that I find most important to understand the pandemic.
Countries that are red are currently not testing adequately in relation to the size of their outbreak.
[Interactive: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/mRgHKXU0TO
The US data that I find most concerning currently isn’t the case count, but the rate of positive tests.
That rate is high (which means, relative to the size of the outbreak the US is testing much less than other rich countries) and rising.
[Source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/BMtc3qlllg
All of @OurWorldInData's data on COVID-19 testing has just been updated.
Latest positive rates in Europe:
🇺🇦 Ukraine: 17.2%
🇵🇱 Poland: 12.3%
🇪🇸 Spain: 10%
🇫🇷 France: 7.5%
🇮🇹 Italy: 6.3%
🇬🇧 United Kingdom: 5.9%
🇷🇺 Russia: 2.8%
🇩🇪 Germany: 1.4%
(Source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…) pic.twitter.com/rsK5lXMWEF
Uruguay is a country that stands out in its response to the pandemic.
This shows the rate of confirmed deaths due to #COVID19 across Latin America. Uruguay is at the very bottom.
[This chart is made with our new interactive Coronavirus Data Explorer ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/8sv3ZTWRGw
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
A crossroads in this new phase of the pandemic: Spain is now confirming more daily deaths per million people than the United States. pic.twitter.com/0RksICB637
What a difference a few weeks makes...
Australia & Norway had very similar trajectories for #COVID19 & both were admired for getting the virus under control early.
Then, Australia had a new outbreak...
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/6zoeg60vIu
Italy was one of the hardest-hit countries and back in March every 4th test the country did was positive.
Now Italy has one of the very lowest rates of positive COVID-19 tests worldwide: 0.5%.
[source (where you can compare with other countries) ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/vlokFNvGEz
Passamos os países europeus em número de casos, mas passamos subindo MUITO mais. É uma outra tendência. Não vamos parar nem de longe no número de mortes deles, mesmo se controlássemos nossa epidemia agora. O que estamos longe de fazer.
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/gZSjPgtFcf
Britain’s 7 day rolling average death toll rose for the 2nd day running. It’s not clear to me at all why we would want to ease lockdown now. #DailyBriefing
Our World in Data has added a superb Data Explorer interface to their Coronavirus datasets, updated daily. Get per-capita, not just total, cases & deaths across countries. Answer questions like, Who's doing better (for now), Sweden or Norway?
Europe is still the only world region that bent the curve and brought COVID-19 infections down.
All other continents see the number of new cases increase week after week.
[source (incl. country data): ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/SQZNnKq45b
The weekly update on the comparison between the EU and the US.
• The population of the US is 330 million.
• The population of the EU is 446 million.
[The source is the @OurWorldInData-Data Explorer where you can also view deaths, tests and more
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/5JR032KpJj
The daily number of deaths in European countries.
This is a screenshot from our new Data Explorer: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
There you can:
• add any other country in the world you are interested in
• and switch to *per capita* statistics if you want. pic.twitter.com/LoCcZQLmqN
Sweden never locked down, never mandated masks, kept their under-16 schools open, never closed their borders, never closed their restaurants and bars, and have one of the lowest current daily death rates in the world.
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/cvB07qaxlC
There are 14 countries with a population larger than 100 million.
• Japan & China bent the curve. The USA and Russia are on a slow decline.
• The other 10 largest countries see the number of confirmed cases rise continuously.
[interactive ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/ScRBE1mylA
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
The epicenter of the pandemic is shifting again: Europe now has more daily confirmed cases per million people than any other continent. pic.twitter.com/BxjhSgL39H
The fact that the US is still not managing to test enough – doing much worse than Togo, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, or Latvia – is hard to believe.
But that’s the reality, even after 9 months of this pandemic.
[source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/jwWhCYkQoV
Hard to know now which policies against COVID work best, but 1 index is deaths/capita/day, aligned w outbreak. OWID graph shows US doing poorly; Sweden far worse than Norway (& is 1 of the worst rich countries).
Deaths due to COVID per million people (that is, the number of deaths per total population). Some countries are doing better than others. Any guesses which countries are not doing too well?
Just updated @OurWorldInData COVID-19 data for 25th Oct
World is approaching 0.5M new daily confirmed cases.
Where are we seeing the most daily confirmed cases?
🇺🇸 USA: 83k
🇮🇳 India: 50k
🇫🇷 France: 45k
🇷🇺 Russia: 33k
🇧🇷 Brazil: 27k
🇬🇧 UK: 23k
(Source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…) pic.twitter.com/5nAM9OrIiI
Six week ago the US case rate was almost 20-fold higher than the rate in the EU.
Since then cases have risen again in the EU and fallen in the US: now the difference is a bit less than 3-fold.
[source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/3Wsxm7jUEN
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed #COVID19 cases and deaths has just been updated. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Several large countries in Western Europe (Spain, France, Switzerland, Germany, and Italy) are confirming more and more cases every day. pic.twitter.com/2X8NV1xfqH
@realDonaldTrump I agree with you that it is important to open school. But these countries are in a very different situation now.
You find the data here ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
By switching to the 'share of positive tests' you can see that the US is also doing much worse in testing than them. pic.twitter.com/sTQkWmEihm
All of @OurWorldInData's data on COVID-19 testing has just been updated.
Latest positive rates in Europe:
🇺🇦 Ukraine: 16.8%
🇪🇸 Spain: 9.4%
🇫🇷 France: 8.9%
🇵🇱 Poland: 8%
🇬🇧 United Kingdom: 5%
🇮🇹 Italy: 3.9%
🇷🇺 Russia: 2.6%
🇩🇪 Germany: 1.4%
(Source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…) pic.twitter.com/F5RLCEhMzu
Which countries are seeing a rise in #COVID19 cases after an initial decrease?
• South Korea: +520% compared to the lowest point
• Costa Rica: +300%
• Albania: +180%
• Uruguay: +170%
• Malaysia: +170%
• Macedonia: +140%
Explore the data here: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/moi7ZUKv1N
NEW: We extended our Coronavirus Pandemic Data Explorer: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
You now find the data on confirmed cases, deaths, and tests – but also the ratio of tests to confirmed cases [to assess how widely a country is testing] and the case fatality rate. pic.twitter.com/24m2yLOmcp
What was that the USA was saying about having so many positive COVID-19 cases because they were testing so much more than anyone else?
As of yesterday:
Canada 87 tests:1 confirmed case
USA 14 tests: 1 confirmed case
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/G7dPwCcaYw
The rate of positive tests in the US is still high (8.2%) but not increasing.
And it is very good to see the number of new confirmed cases coming down. Let’s hope this trend continues!
[at the source you find global data for cases, deaths, & tests ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/miqz5uNrX9
The new Our World in Data charting app takes a very well-designed statistical website on Covid-19 statistics and makes it even better. Great, accessible resource for international comparisons of all sorts. --> Daily COVID-19 deaths per million people
Lots of tests and few cases: Happy to see Germany’s positive rate decline to the lowest value yet.
Only every 200th test is finding a case of COVID-19.
Here you find the data for other countries ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/jFqOWCLr0Z
All of @OurWorldInData's data on COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated. Explore it here: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
After reaching its lowest point of 269 on July 25, our rolling average for the number of deaths in Europe has been increasing steadily, and is now over 400. pic.twitter.com/NfBI3HFAh3
Large countries in Western Europe are on the same trajectory: more and more cases of COVID-19 are detected every day, and positive rates are rising—indicating that cases are increasing even relative to the number of tests performed.
Explore the data here: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/d3AX6iYyTv
The rate of confirmed deaths due to #COVID19 in the UK is now about twice as high as in Germany at the very peak of the outbreak there.
[From @OurWorldInData's interactive Coronavirus Data Explorer where you can compare any country in the world: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/RjQV5rdVQs
South America is now the continent with the highest cumulative number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths, relative to its population.
• South America: 427 deaths per million people
• North America: 426
• Europe: 273
• Asia: 27
• Africa: 20
• Oceania: 12
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/CsOolV2Der
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
The number of new cases is rising fast throughout Europe, with the Netherlands, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom at very high levels of daily infections. pic.twitter.com/QRr4bK42hp
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Today's update includes a large addition of 3351 deaths in Argentina due to the inclusion of historical data for the province of Buenos Aires pic.twitter.com/U60Zi1sCYS
All of @OurWorldInData's data on COVID-19 testing has been updated for June 29th.
You can explore it here: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Since reaching its lowest point on June 16th (4.5%), the positivity rate for the United States has been steadily increasing, and is now at 6.5%. pic.twitter.com/TNHnToGWtN
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated for September 17. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Our 7-day rolling average for global cases is reaching new records: more than 285,000 cases are now confirmed every day. pic.twitter.com/GkgE5LeUF3
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed #COVID19 cases and deaths has just been updated. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
The number of confirmed cases has been quickly rising in Paraguay, with now more than 10,000 cumulative cases, and a positive rate of 18%. pic.twitter.com/aJCupVgRt1
The current surge of COVID-19 in Europe
First the confirmed cases and then to see the relation to the scale of testing the positive-rate.
[The source is our Data Explorer where you find data for countries around the world: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/j3EZqMG5Tn
Compare US, Sweden, EU, Japan, Taiwan in daily COVID-19 cases (adjusted for population size). Japan and Taiwan adopted universal mask-wearing early. What do you notice? #WearAMask
Choose your own countries to compare: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/pddftKmRii
@_265__@AdamJKucharski A lot looks like back then - same countries doing well, same countries doing poorly - but Italy has switched from bad to relatively good
You've probably seen these graphs: cases are way up, even higher than the first wave, and yet deaths are hardly up at all. (All graphs pinched from Our World In Data, because why wouldn't you) ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/O2gYlLai6N
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed #COVID19 cases and deaths has just been updated for August 5. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
The 7-day average for daily new cases in 🇪🇸 Spain is now at 3,172, which represents 40% of Spain's first-wave peak on March 31. pic.twitter.com/BExLkysQh7
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed #COVID19 cases and deaths has just been updated for August 10. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Kosovo has now confirmed more than 10,000 cases, and it currently has one of the highest COVID-19 death rates in the world. pic.twitter.com/W0b1sBuLNd
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated for August 27. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Here are the 10 countries confirming the highest number of new daily cases at the moment, relative to their population. pic.twitter.com/aiFklqRbcJ
These regions managed coronavirus better than USA.
They also are key revenue producers for FAANMGs.
Data suggest much of the world is way ahead of the U.S. not only in terms of managing their pandemics, but in their economic recoveries.
bit.ly/3fnOx8U
7/
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed #COVID19 cases and deaths has just been updated. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
After managing to keep the pandemic under control from April to July, Uganda is now confirming more than a hundred new cases every day. pic.twitter.com/0rtLPHApCF
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
The number of daily deaths in Russia has been increasing for the last month, and could soon be back at the level of the country's first peak. pic.twitter.com/nuwQGHQbHk
All of @OurWorldInData's data on #COVID19 cases, deaths, and testing has just been updated. Explore it here: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
The number of confirmed cases has been increasing very rapidly in Lebanon for the last month, with a 7-day average now close to 300 daily cases. pic.twitter.com/bhhlzvOmnL
Since August 1, there have been a total of (at least):
• 4,117 new deaths in Spain
• 2,191 new deaths in France
• 1,346 new deaths in the UK
Looking at the cumulative total of deaths for each country makes this harder to miss. 👇
(Source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…) pic.twitter.com/QOiz36CKaU
@Ted_Newton@mikiebarb Not sure when this screenshot was taken, but certainly not today. Here is the current situation (absolute numbers on the left, per capita on the right).
Obviously the situation is terrible in the US right now, but FR and SP are far from 0 case.
(Source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…) pic.twitter.com/5NrojWCM5X
Estonia has overall done very well. They saw outbreaks but were then able to turn them around quickly.
They are also one of the few European countries that currently see cases falling.
[source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/gL19YwtHwZ
@yabutaleb7@jdawsey1 According to this article, the idea is to adopt the same strategy as Sweden, which is one of the few advanced countries where deaths/million is worse than in the U.S. (though U.S. catching up fast).
All of @OurWorldInData's data on confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths has just been updated for September 21. You can explore it at ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Iran is struggling to control COVID-19 durably and is now facing a third large increase of deaths since the pandemic began. pic.twitter.com/whhttFIevR
Differences in the rate of confirmed #COVID19 deaths:
• Germany is 19-times higher than Korea
• The US is more than 3-times higher than Germany
• The UK is 80% higher than the US
[for all countries in the world: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/qX2KQT3PZP
The latest data on the #COVID19 pandemic in South America.
[this is from our Data Explorer ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da… where you can also see the data in per capita terms and see the statistics on testing for the virus and on confirmed cases.] pic.twitter.com/X8YBmjQnZC
A point that gets repeated in the British #COVID19 discussion is that only countries in East Asia did better and that this might be because the UK did not have the experience of SARS.
This is not the case.
[source where you can add all countries: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/JGOl8aKuo6
The rate of confirmed cases in Europe over the last week.
The top 3 are:
1 – Czech Republic: 354 per million
2 – Netherlands: 264
3 – the UK: 214
…
Germany: 35
Serbia: 14
Global data in our Data Explorer: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/Ueh7OoDhCo
Terrible to see the data from Argentina. The positive rate has been increasing for 5 months.
Now more than every second(!) test is confirming a case of COVID-19.
[the source is our Global Data Explorer ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/RL2JPYfqNA
It was quite a big effort for our small team to build this Data Explorer, but we see it as a first version and are very keen to hear you feedback.
What do you find useful? What does not work for you?
→ Here it is
And these big differences are not because the US is testing more extensively.
The opposite is the case: the positivity rate in the US is higher than in all of these countries.
[Source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/d54baoZ3qJ
A screenshot from our Coronavirus Data Explorer where you can explore the data on tests, cases and deaths.
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Shown are the daily confirmed deaths due to COVID19 in the world’s nine largest countries outside of China. pic.twitter.com/5LSiJXw2yR
This is comparison of the death rate from confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the EU and the US.
In both regions the rate is falling. The rate at which people in the US are dying is currently 5-times higher than in the EU.
[the interactive chart ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/ON8QWfzYaQ
Most African countries for which we have data have a high positive rate – indicating that their testing isn’t sufficient for the size of their outbreaks.
But there are 4 countries with low rates:
Ghana 2.5%
Togo 1.5%
Rwanda 1%
and Malawi 1.9%
[→ ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/sd4qAP78vu
Before reading the news on the pandemic I’d recommend looking at the data yourself.
To understand what’s happening I spend quite some time every day seeing the evidence via our pandemic Data Explorer
Why Were University of Chicago Professional <strike>Economists</strike> Republicans So Stupid About Coronavirus?
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…bradford-delong.com/2020/06/why-we…
I look at the Trump professional <strike>economists</strike> Republicans—Kevin Hassett, Tomas Philipson, 1/
Charts on Our World in Data have a blue time slider below them.
• You can use it to focus on the time span that is of interest to you.
• And if you bring both ends together to the same time point the line chart turns into a bar chart.
Try it out ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/0d4WBxdHQW
The comparison with South Korea and Germany is what the interviewer was interested in, if you want to compare any other country in the world you can do so on our site here (you also find data on cases, tests, and many, many more statistics)
The positive rate in South Africa is still very high (20%) so that many cases will be missed.
So we need to be careful to not overstate the positive signs, but
– the %-rate is now falling,
– confirmed cases too,
– and also deaths are declining.
[source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/MwMtiYVT1f
The day at which cases are reported is not the day at which people get infected.
If you report case counts of individual days you are reporting this noise.
(It’s similar for other countries ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…) pic.twitter.com/Q3ShWRX32h
The 10 countries with the highest confirmed death count – cumulative since the beginning of the pandemic:
Belgium 857 deaths per million
Peru 791
Spain 612
UK 609
Italy 585
Sweden 573
Chile 544
United States 512
Brazil 505
France 466
[interactive ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/2tIRjZeA3R
We don’t have testing data for all these 10 countries. For those countries for which we have testing data we see that they are testing little in relation to the size of the outbreak.
[ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/1lSOMjNqoU
Confirmed deaths due to #COVID19 across Africa.
The six countries with most deaths are Egypt, Algeria, South Africa, Nigeria, Sudan and Morocco.
[interactive in our Data Explorer where you can compare with all countries in the world & view it per capita
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/dAt9z9aCvC
And these are the current death rates across Europe.
Again, a huge inequality between places: the Czech Republic at the top and Estonia and Cyprus without any deaths in the last week.
[source ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/SUKiWoY3j4
Here’s total deaths per million. Again, Sweden is near the top — not as bad as the very worst hit countries, but worse than the vast majority and much worse than most.
I agree with the authors.
Below is our data in which I compare the positive rate in the US with countries that are testing well. The US is still testing way too little.
The US can and should do much better – to save money and lives.
[data ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/UoXhobUkXd
Wie sich die Covid-19 Ansteckungen in der Schweiz beschleunigen:
- von 50-100 Ansteckungen pro Tag (7-Tage Schnitt) ging es 17 Tage
- von 100-150 pro Tag: 16 Tage
- von 150-200 pro Tag: 13 Tage
- von 200-250 pro Tag: 9 Tage
- von 250-300 pro Tag: 7 Tage
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/4NEICJNxSc
The EU has a larger older population, a more porous border, a weaker central government, and was hit earlier by the pandemic, yet the US has about twice the fatality rate ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da… .
I've tried to help while watching failure unfold 😞
Please vote.
And the death count also stayed low in Estonia. After deaths in the spring the small country was able to largely avoid any additional deaths: since mid-May only 4 people died from COVID-19 in Estonia.
[source: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/luGPQjj4dj
Cumulative confirmed COVID-19 deaths: Sweden (NO-lockdown) vs. Denmark, Finland and Norway (lockdown). More deaths by a factor of 10.
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
But, Sweden's labor market performed slightly better. Worth it? pic.twitter.com/GX8nkPPOmN
You can explore all this data for yourself in our Data Explorer ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
There you also find global data and data on confirmed cases, number of tests, and much more
a ton of countries are now doing worse than the United States in per capita Covid-19 cases, and no I don't really know what happened.
it's a little like all of Europe just said "fuck it"
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/PbdcARwBfi
You also find it in the Coronavirus Data Explorer – there you can also switch between metrics as you see in the video.
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
And in the rest of the publication too. This new table view is implemented on all the many thousand charts on our site now. pic.twitter.com/6U1x4zGR7q
Four different countries I've lived in with 4 wildly different #COVID19 trajectories. Granted its hard to compare due to large differences in testing strategies as well as public health measures, but interesting anyway!
Sauce: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/NuMBxZuZfp
I den graf artikeln hänvisar till framgår tydligt hur puckeln börjar precis när testningen breddas, och faller när man kunde vänta sig att poolen tidigare smittade inte längre testar positiv med pcr.
How the number of confirmed deaths due to COVID-19 changed within the last 14 days across Europe.
Direct link to this in the Explorer ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
(didn’t know that this chart would be possible when we designed the new Data Explorer, but an interesting view I think.) pic.twitter.com/ybznzeiWtv
Some countries do better than others when it comes to deaths from covid 19…why? Fewer cases? Better therapy?
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Link above is “aligned” at 0.1 deaths per million defining t=0.
Here’s a video in calendar time.
#CCPVirus #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/ch4w0fPS4c
Hooray, Brazil is world champion of COVID-19 deaths per million hab! It started with a 5-week delay, but it easily surpassed Spain and the US. Will the US still be able to catch up?
The US covid trends are in the right direction (if not as fast as we'd like). 7-day rolling average of daily new cases peaked on Apr 11 and has fallen over 25%, same metric for deaths peaked Apr 22 and is down almost 50%.
Source: @OurWorldInData dashboard ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…pic.twitter.com/Y9mQxqDsVY
Some large countries don't yet show any sign of bending the curve.
Neither in confirmed cases – shown here – nor in confirmed deaths (see next tweet).
[Interactive in our Data Explorer ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/PDAkiTR5sr
And the death rate is also rising very rapidly – its far exceeding the spring-peak of the pandemic in the country.
[source for all data (where you also find data for other countries): ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…] pic.twitter.com/4C7mFJqSbt