The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus
The latest studies show that even in the hardest-hit cities, most people remain vulnerable.
Eric Topol
242d ago
The path to herd immunity is not by getting the herd sick
nytimes.com/interactive/20… @UpshotNYT by @PopovichN and @sangerkatz ★ @nytgraphics pic.twitter.com/VEnK1iXKeR
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New studies suggest we're still a long way from herd immunity. Even in the world's hardest-hit cities, the vast majority of people remain vulnerable to the coronavirus.
"The numbers are a fraction of the threshold known as herd immunity, at which the virus can no longer spread widely...
Even in some of the hardest-hit cities in the world, the studies suggest, the vast majority of people still remain vulnerable"
Different samples and different tests - but remarkably consistent with what we know about the size of the outbreaks and the success of the lockdowns.
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus
The world is still far below the threshold of herd immunity, the point at which the coronavirus can no longer spread widely, new studies have found
⚠️The threshold for herd immunity, at which #coronavirus can no longer spread widely is believed to be >60%.
Even in the hardest-hit cities in the world, the highest rate of immunity is only ~20% in #NYC, and the vast majority of people have NO immunity.
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/6hGyUQkec7
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for #Coronavirus
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
UK ~7% seroprevalence but with ~38K deaths due to #COVID19 already
twitter.com/AndyBiotech/st…
Spain ~5% seroprevalence but with ~27K deaths already
twitter.com/AndyBiotech/st… pic.twitter.com/vwRb88QjXl
Argument in AFR recently that Australian restrictions for pandemic were excessive rests heavily on claim that herd immunity is near in the US and elsewhere. This is way off the mark. Intellectual honesty requires retractions. @profholden @chrisedmond
Even in some of the hardest-hit cities in the world, the vast majority of people remain vulnerable to the virus, we are still a long way from developing herd immunity @nytimes
We're nowhere near herd immunity when it comes to coronavirus, @sangerkatz and @PopovichN show with these stellar new visualizations.
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus
[from 28May]
“We don’t have a good way to safely build it up, to be honest, not in the short term," says @michaelmina_lab on herd immunity.
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus - In other words we need a vaccine #COVID19 #StayHome nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/SFQunWrTVq
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus
Read what CVR member @AndrewNoymer has to say.
There is a tension, to say the least, between the hope for "herd immunity" and the demand that everyone stay away from each other, banning events (i.e. the lockdown). You can't regret that the former hasn't been achieved while favoring the later.
The path to herd immunity (HI) against #COVID19 via natural infection is really far away. NY with 20% seropositivity after witnessing such an unparalleled💀toll can’t provide HI. #WeNeedVaccines
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus
Disappointed in @UpshotNYT on this story:
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
A few key things stand out here. They quote unnamed "experts" to support an assumption that herd immunity requires at least 60% infected (this is major underpinning of the piece), but in reality... 1/?
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus (@UpshotNYT)
Featuring: @michaelmina_lab, @nataliexdean, Gypsyamber D’Souza, @AndrewNoymer
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/BdmJxZhixt
Estamos muy lejos de la inmunidad de grupo. Nos movemos entre un 7 y un 17%. Es mucho más importante el uso de mascarillas y lavado de manos que seguir pensando en confinamientos. Aquí podéis algunas de la inmunidad en las principales cuidades.
nytimes.com/interactive/20… pic.twitter.com/HQL2ufAGpv
Sobering read: The World Is Still Far From #HerdImmunity for Coronavirus
nytimes.com/interactive/20… @NYTHealth @anna_jyce
This article was just published on how far we are from herd immunity for COVID-19. Although the title is definitely correct, the article has a surprising number of important issues and errors in it.
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus - The New York Times
Tremendous visualization of the challenge ahead: The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for #Coronavirus, by @PopovichN @sangerkatz nytimes.com/interactive/20… via @UpshotNYT #Covid19 #GlobalHealth
The precise herd immunity threshold for the novel coronavirus is not yet clear; but several experts said they believed it would be higher than 60 percent...studies show herd immunity protection is unlikely to be reached “any time soon”
Les dejo esto:
“We don’t have a good way to safely build it [herd immunity] up, to be honest, not in the short term,” ... “Unless we’re going to let the virus run rampant again — but I think society has decided that is not an approach available to us.”
We have not come close to #herdimmunity for #COVID19
The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity Coronavirus: herd immunity protection is unlikely to be reached “any time soon,” “Unless we’re going to let the virus run rampant again — but I think society has decided that is not an approach available to us.”
But @unherd said we had probably achieved herd immunity - that this was all a vast overreaction because something something elite Anywhere snowflakes who oppose Brexit. They said opening up was going to be *easy*. I don’t understand!
It's going to take quite a while for #herd #Immunity for #coronavirus to develop.
Even with imperfect estimates, clearly far from herd immunity for #SARSCoV2, nice visualization from @UpshotNYT
