🚨Biosecurity experts ran dozens of pandemic war-games to prep for this crisis. My NEW feature w/ asks what went wrong. They depicted #coronavirus, leaky travel bans, PPE shortages, vaccine scrambles, battles btwn leaders. But not Trump.
One of the biggest frustrations? The simulations didn’t anticipate political leadership that would ignore expert advice, sideline the nation’s premier public health agency and basically “fart around” as the country was overrun by a virus.
Simulations can be informative if crafted to test governance. They may also be more useful for assessing decision-making than other preparedness metrics. Looking forward to sharing a forthcoming report touching on this. Great piece by
. is one of the best reporters on the infectious diseases beat. This piece, with , looks at all the experts who spent decades war-gaming a possible pandemic, and the thing they didn’t account for.
As a long-time government researcher told me: "You need gas in the engine and the brakes to work, but if the driver doesn't want to use the car, you're not going anywhere."
In their latest feature, and dissect the lessons learned from 20 years of pandemic war-gaming exercises and ask the biosecurity experts involved what went so horribly wrong in the US?
Two decades of #pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump
“Pandemic war game scenarios foresaw leaky travel bans, a scramble for vaccines & disputes btwn state & federal leaders but none anticipated the level of dysfunction due to Trump.” Fascinating piece by ⁦⁩ & ⁦⁦⁩ #COVID19
Trump is an anti-science, narcissistic, conspiracy-peddling racist leader absent of empathy when we need the opposite to confront #covid19. “Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump” ⁩ ⁦
Effective public health programs use real-time data to make decisions. Unless states and localities start tracking and reporting on key indicators, we won't be able to control Covid. and unpack the dysfunction of the US response.
Totally unprepared, "farting around," despite simulations and an enviable track record. The US pandemic response, absent leadership, still failing to act. by w/
Interesting look at the insights from pandemic simulation games and how they failed at taking governance failures into account. Some lessons are more learnable than others, some assumptions are more imaginable and acceptable than others.
Been working on this one for ages. Just out! How the biosecurity community identified so many weak spots playing out now. But none expected a Trump.
My latest story with exploring two decades of pandemic war games. One lesson: leadership matters. “It’s not that the US doesn’t have the right tools — it’s that we aren’t choosing to use them,” says .
Deadly pandemics are inevitable. What’s not inevitable is that we will continue to be so underprepared. Will the US do what we must to prevent the next pandemic?
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump
In the last 10 days of January, WHO sounded their highest alarm about coronavirus. What did Trump do? He posted >40 tweets on the impeachment hearings & defeating the Dems. Just 4 tweets saying corona was under control. I wrote about these vital months
I don't think any kicker this year has shattered me quite like this one. and detail the limitations of pandemic simulations in , and their findings are gutting.
Killer work by and Jeff Tollefson. Pandemic exercises took into account medical shortfalls, vaccine scrambling, diplomatic issues...but all kind of relied on Federal leadership that had, well, common sense.
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to predict problems with U.S. response to covid-19
Great article on limitations of past pandemic simulations in the US. In addition to those described here, in my research I've noticed that these preparedness strategies never mentioned social inequalities or challenges essential workers face.
This week on , we're talking invasions (from aliens, to murder hornets, to pandemics). breaks down how we've been war-gaming #pandemic response for decades, and yet.... *gestures widely*. Here's her fantastic article for
Experts spent two decades war-gaming for a possible pandemic — including one caused by a coronavirus — but did not account for world leaders like Donald Trump rejecting advice from public health specialists. Read: Written by
Fair! And don't forget their efforts in Jan & Feb to unreasonably ensure that no one but them could test (From my piece )
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump - The scenarios foresaw leaky travel bans, a scramble for vaccines and disputes between state and federal leaders, but none could anticipate the current levels of dysfunction in the U.S.
Reporter shares details on the last few pandemic war-game simulations (read her story here: ) and the similarities to the current novel coronavirus are chilling. Hear her account:
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump
A failure of public health research imagination: "Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump”
What decades of pandemic war games failed to account for...
"Now, as COVID-19 cases in the United States surpass 4 million, with more than 150,000 deaths, the country has proved itself to be one of the most dysfunctional. "
Biosecurity experts didn't anticipate a Trump. However, pointed out that they also didn't adequately focus on what to do when an outbreak isn't contained in the early days & a vaccine isn't in sight. The missing "middle-game".
“why did dozens of simulations, evaluations and white papers fail to predict or defend against the colossal missteps taken in the world’s wealthiest nation?”
Sweeping look at years of preparing for bad biological surprises --- impressive survey by
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump. They had all the tools in the car but they never even started it. ⁦⁩ ⁦
‘The scenarios foresaw leaky travel bans, a scramble for vaccines and disputes between state and federal leaders, but none could anticipate the current levels of dysfunction in the United States’. #COVID19 ⁦
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump via &
Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump
Pandemic scenario modelling reckoned without #idiocracy. A mistake that won't be made again. In other countries at least.
“You can’t fart around for weeks on end and then give a confused, half-baked, not very serious response.”
Must-read: Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump
Paging ! Two decades of pandemic war games failed to account for Donald Trump. #blackswan