Many of the figures and ideas in this thread are taken from my book, that comes out in two days with @lbsparkbooks: APOLLO’S ARROW: THE PROFOUND AND ENDURING IMPACT OF CORONAVIRUS ON THE WAY WE LIVE. amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-… #APOLLOSARROW 6/
Right on schedule, the second wave of COVID19. :-(
As discussed in #APOLLOSARROW amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-…, this is wholly expected and there will ultimately quite likely be more than 500,000 deaths in the USA before the pandemic ends. pic.twitter.com/CiVSXVi3bJ
The history, present, and ultimate end of the COVID-19 pandemic are described in my book, APOLLO’S ARROW: THE PROFOUND AND ENDURING IMPACT OF CORONAVIRUS ON THE WAY WE LIVE, published by @littlebrown on October 27, 2020. amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-… 20/
During past pandemics, including the 1890 and 1918 pandemics, many world leaders contracted infections, as discussed in #APOLLOSARROW (amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-…). We are seeing this again in 2020, with Johnson, Bolsonaro, and Trump. 3/
As discussed in #APOLLOSARROW, out on October 27 amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-…, the many steps necessary before widespread vaccination takes place may mean it does not arrive before we reach herd immunity anyway, in 2022 or so. So a vaccine may not materially shorten the pandemic. 3/
As discussed in amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-…, in all serious epidemics, people WANT to self delude.
Fine essay by @anneapplebaum: "Those staged pictures are what a lot of people want to see, and that false reassurance is what a lot of people want to hear." theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
During past pandemics, including in 1890 and 1918, many world leaders contracted infections, as discussed in #APOLLOSARROW (amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-…). We are seeing this again in 2020, with Johnson, Bolsonaro, and Trump. It partly relates to politicians having bigger networks. 28/
As discussed in Apollo’s Arrow (amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-…), any *combination* of responses may be adequate.
But a person, family, firm, or nation must implement at least some interventions, and they must do more than just one or two! #APOLLOSARROW 5/
And this historical case highlights another broader idea, which is one theme of APOLLO’S ARROW: The Profound and Enduring Impact of Coronavirus on the Way We Live @littlebrownhttps://t.co/fqVlnwAspq: the challenges posed by epidemics have always been a part of our history. 30/
And this book, APOLLO’S ARROW: THE PROFOUND AND ENDURING IMPACT OF CORONAVIRUS ON THE WAY WE LIVE, out October 27 via @littlebrown@lbsparkbooks explains how, while plagues have always afflicted our species, the experience is new to *us.* amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-… 24/
I dedicated Apollo's Arrow amazon.com/Apollos-Arrow-… to Renée Fox, and she read drafts of it and gave me feedback, just two months ago (as she did with all my books). I had planned to send her the first copy off the press. :-( pic.twitter.com/NzFfTX3hkQ