The number of U.S. residents who have died since March is now more than 200,000 higher than it would be in a normal year. This suggests that the official death counts may be substantially underestimating the overall effects of the coronavirus.
Today, has examined the CDC's data for excess mortality ("deaths above normal") over the pandemic. Since March, at least 200,000 more Americans have died than usual. That's ~60,000 more deaths than officially directly linked to #COVID19. 1/3
I think this is useful for scale: At the peak of the spring COVID wave in NYC, the death rate was 7.7x normal. At the peak in Arizona this summer, the death rate was 1.7x normal.
200,000 more people have died in the U.S. since March than would be expected in a normal year. This number, about 60,000 higher than the number of deaths that have been directly linked to the coronavirus, may be the true toll of the pandemic so far.
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
this impressive journalism underscores truth of something ⁦⁩ told me early in the pandemic: Southern states that boasted of low coronavirus counts were just sitting on dry kindling - which now has been lit
From NYT, a look at the stunning differences between the death rates in New York City at virus peak and southern states at their (later) peak.
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 #covid19 #covid19usa
Both the quantity of excess deaths and the timing and location (a lot in the northeast months ago, a lot in the South just recently) suggest the real COVID-19 death toll is already over 200,000.
coronavirus death toll keeps rising across Trump/GOP’s Southern base
The true coronavirus death toll is already over 200,000. Too many of our politicians are too comfortable with other people’s deaths.
The true pandemic death toll in the US likely exceeds 200,000. A dark and avoidable milestone.
Many of those who die from covid aren't counted because they didn't get a positive test at time of death. And there are deaths that result from secondary effects of this crisis. Now, for the first time, we have the complete picture. Truly devastating.
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 👉At least 200,000 more people have died than usual since March, about 60,000 higher than the number of deaths that have been directly linked to the coronavirus.
"Listen, hospitalisations & deaths are low. It isn't that bad." Last time I heard that? June. When I was talking about rising #COVID19 cases in Texas & the south. How many times are we doing to have to watch this pattern before we learn we can't wait?
Important analysis of excess deaths by state: by this measure, we have already surpassed 200,000 deaths attributable to #covid19 in the U.S.
. The number of U.S. residents who have died since March is now more than 200,000 higher than it would be in a normal year. This suggests that the official death counts may be substantially underestimating the overall effects of the coronavirus.
Across the U.S., at least 200,000 more people have died than usual since March, according to a NYT analysis of estimates from the CDC. That suggests that the official death counts may be substantially underestimating the overall effects of the virus.
Donald Trump has been catastrophic for the United States.
In reality the coronavirus death toll is much worse than the official numbers suggest. At least 200,000 more Americans have died since March than in a normal year.
SOURCE/ A week ago—when deaths were at around 190,000, and the possibility remained that there could be new information to cast doubt on the NYT up-to-July-25 undercount—we couldn't say for sure that 250,000+ Americans had died of COVID-19. But now we can.
In US >200,000 more people have died than usual since March. This is ~60,000 higher than deaths directly linked to the #COVID19. Counts may be underestimating overall effects of #coronavirus, as people die from virus & other causes linked to the pandemic
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 “It’s the flu”
The actual COVID death toll in the US is more than 200,000. The regional pattern of excess deaths is following the spread of COVID.
14/22 . has an informative visualization of how many more people died than usual in each state and region of the US since the pandemic began. The total number of excess deaths in the US? At least 200,000.
1/2 - Excess mortality: "In the USA, at least 200,000 more people have died than usual since March. This is about 60,000 higher than the number of deaths that have been directly linked to the #COVID19." (Excess deaths for seasonal flu: 27,100, 55,700)
Death toll surpasses 200,000 - as the president mumbles about the pandemic just "going away."
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
“...at least 200,000 more people in the U.S. have died than usual since March. This is about 60,000 higher than the number of deaths that have been directly linked to the coronavirus."
NYC deaths peaked in early April at *more than 7 times* normal levels... just astonishing.
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 - ⁦
Just look at excess mortality data
Leveraging excess mortality variation across time & space: pattern matches case spread & thus highly suggestive that deaths driven by the infection rather than indirect effects of lockdown & economy #epitwitter #poptwitter
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
> The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
Counting excess deaths (those above the normal number), the coronavirus has killed more than 200,000 Americans.
NYT returns to excess deaths not by covid. NYT doing good work on. Still paper can’t bring self to ask if cause is the lockdown: stress, skipped med test, close exposure to other diseases. Lockdown itself may be a killer, and is an act of man not nature.
Excess deaths may be a better estimate of #COVID19’s impact. Since March, >200K more have died than usual
More details: The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 - The New York Times
US #COVID19 deaths are way undercounted- already past 200,000. Virus is still out of control/running free in Trump's #COVIDIOT cult.
True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 #COVID19 #leadershipmatters #hcsm via
The True #Coronavirus #Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000:
The True #coronavirus Toll in USA Has Already Surpassed 200,000 via
This morning we learn that more than 200,000 Americans have died of #Covid19, thus far. President Trump is tweeting about cable TV ratings and praising himself.
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
2/n The NYT (Denise Lu, Josh Katz and Margot Sanger-Katz) did their own analysis of the CDC figures, and report that at least 200,000 excess deaths (again, regardless of #COVID19) since *March* this year. Good state and regional breakdowns here.
The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
The True #COVID19 Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
Nice data visualizations here