Devastating numbers: "England and Wales and Spain experienced the largest effect: ~100 excess deaths per 100,000 people, equivalent to a 37% (30–44%) relative increase in England and Wales and 38% (31–45%) in Spain"
Our new paper led by colleagues from compared all cause excess deaths in 21 industrialised countries during pandemic. UK comes out at wrong end of ranking. It does especially badly in <65s
Out today: Our paper in measuring the first wave of the #COVID19 #pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries. Summary below. :
Really important paper that shows that—for 21 industrialized countries—excess all-cause mortality largely relates to COVID deaths, not to stringency of non-pharmacological interventions. Maybe control COVID better, and you’ll keep everyone healthier?
Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries | Nature Medicine
Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries | Nature Medicine
Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries
Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries | Nature Medicine
"Excess Deaths" are deaths from ALL causes during an emergency, above what would be expected during normal times. This study quantified excess deaths in 21 industrialized countries during the #COVID19 first wave. It is pretty high in some settings.
The original paper "The heterogeneous mortality effects of the COVID-19 pandemic reflect differences in how well countries have managed the pandemic and the resilience and preparedness of the health and social care system."
Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries
A good paper on excess mortality during the pandemic Also very clear about the limitations of this measure (the main one obviously being that we don’t have information about the causes of death, but also large uncertainty intervals as they explain).
The method of 'excess deaths' used to quantify the impact of epidemics (introduced by William Farr in 19thC) is still going strong: Excellent new study in shows great variation across countries. England and Spain had a 37% and 38% increase.
Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries via & et al
Study finds health systems, government responses linked to virus tolls i hate it when journalists don't provide link to the science article they are reporting about! x-national comparison of 21 rich countries
"England, Wales & Spain experienced largest effect ~100 excess deaths per 100,000 equivalent to 37% relative increase in E&W & 38% in Spain. Bulgaria, NZ, Slovakia, Australia, Czechia, Hungary, Poland, Norway, Denmark & Finland had increases of 5% or less"
Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries