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Swing Toward The Democrats | Monmouth University Polling Institute
But most voters still expect Trump to win
California Tax Revolt Faces a Retreat, 40 Years Later
Proposition 13 in 1978 curbed property tax increases. Now voters may strip protection for commercial buildings, helping hard-hit local budgets.
How Long Will Vote Counting Take? Estimates and Deadlines in All 50 States
We asked officials about their election results processes and what share of votes they expect to be counted by Nov. 4.
How the Trump Era Has Strained, and Strengthened, Politically Mixed Marriages
Fewer people want to date those with different political views. But couples are also talking through political issues more.
These Americans Tried to Listen to One Another. A Year Later, Here’s How They’re Voting.
A year ago, 526 voters met in Texas to talk politics. We caught up with them ahead of the election.
Emily Badger
We hope these portraits of hundreds of representative American voters put a face to the other party for you.
5d
Iowa Never Locked Down. Its Economy Is Struggling Anyway.
President Trump has blamed Democratic officials’ rules for impeding the recovery. But even where restrictions are few, business is far from normal.
Voters Prefer Biden Over Trump on Almost All Major Issues, Poll Shows
Joe Biden leads President Trump, 50 percent to 41 percent, a New York Times/Siena College poll shows, with voters favoring him by wide margins on the coronavirus and law and order.
1
Emily Badger
In the latest national NYT/Siena poll, voters prefer Biden to Trump on nearly every issue — including law and order.
11d
Jobless Workers Built Up Some Savings. Then the $600 Checks Stopped.
Anonymized bank data shows what happened next, as balances shrank and hopes dimmed for action from Washington.
Jobless Workers Built Up Some Savings. Then the $600 Checks Stopped.
Anonymized bank data shows what happened next, as balances shrank and hopes dimmed for action from Washington.
1
Emily Badger
All those $600 UI checks gave jobless workers some temporary protection against political dysfunction in Washington.
But that protection is probably gone now.
w/ @qdbui
15d
What Happens if Roe v. Wade Is Overturned?
Abortion access would decline in large regions of the country, a new data analysis shows.
Focusing on Firearms Proves Contentious in Struggle to Reduce Veterans’ Suicides
The gun control debate complicated an effort to encourage frank talk by health professionals about the risks posed by firearms.
8 Million Have Slipped Into Poverty Since May as Federal Aid Has Dried Up
Two new studies show the effect of the emergency $2 trillion package known as the Cares Act and what happened when the money ran out.
Emily Badger
Since added federal aid to the unemployed has dried up, millions have likely fallen into poverty: nytimes.com/2020/10/15/us/… via @JasonDeParle
16d
Why ‘Supermom’ Gets Star Billing on Résumés for Public Office
Judge Barrett and Senator Harris negotiate America’s freighted expectations for women.
Emily Badger
I missed this Trump comment from his rally in PA this week:
“Suburban women, would you please like me?” he said. “I saved your damn neighborhood, OK?”
17d
As Virus Spread Early On, Reports of Trump Administration Briefings Fueled Sell-Off
A hedge fund consultant’s summary of private presentations by White House economic advisers fanned investor worries.
Emily Badger
“The president’s aides appeared to be giving wealthy party donors an early warning of a potentially impactful contagion at a time when Mr. Trump was publicly insisting that the threat was nonexistent.”
17d
What Kamala Harris Learned About Power at Howard
As a college student, she wanted to have an impact. The answer she landed on — working inside institutions — set her on the path to the vice-presidential nomination.
California Republican Party Admits It Placed Misleading Ballot Boxes Around State
Government officials say the receptacles are illegal and could lead to voter fraud, but the party says it will continue the practice.
Emily Badger
The California GOP admitted it placed more than 50 deceptively labeled “official” drop boxes for mail-in ballots in Los Angeles, Fresno and Orange Counties
18d
Florida Sees Signals of a Climate-Driven Housing Crisis
Home sales in areas most vulnerable to sea-level rise began falling around 2013, researchers found. Now, prices are following a similar downward path.
Trump’s Struggles Ripple Across the Sun Belt, Endangering G.O.P. Stronghold
President Trump is fading nationally as he alienates women, seniors and suburbanites, polls show. But private G.O.P. surveys show he is in close races in solidly red states, too.
Emily Badger
“This losing demographic bet against big cities and their residents is putting Sun Belt states in play.”
22d
Policing Studies Measure Benefits To Crime Reduction—But Not Social Costs
Research has shown only that police can be sufficient, not that they are necessary.