Am I insane or is the US government's main statistical model insane?
Justin MurphyJust posted: Reasons why the IHME model might be under-predicting coronavirus deaths in the USA
Justin MurphyFor a longer version with numbers and links, see my blog post here: theotherlifenow.com/the-ihme-model/. I'm not super confident so I don't want to freak anyone out, I'm hoping to be corrected. But my personal subjective prediction is >500,000 deaths in America. Hopefully I'm wrong.
Creative professionals whose livelihoods have been impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak are flocking to membership platform Patreon in record numbers, the company claims. During the first three weeks of March, more than 30,000 new creators launched on...
Justin Murphy"average new patron growth across the U.S., U.K., Canada, Germany, Australia and Italy is up 36.2% in March compared to February."
I combed through several years of my private notes and through everything I published on productivity before and tried to summarize all of it in this post.
If you’re unproductive right now Here’s what you should do if you’ve been procrastinating for...
Justin Murphy"make the stuff you want to be doing in the long-term to be the most exciting stuff you can do at any moment in time"
A growing body of research has found that “microbreaks”—frequent, short breaks taken throughout the day—can be just as or more beneficial as long breaks.
Justin Murphy"microbreaks can involve pretty much anything from making a cup of tea to walking around the office. In fact, there are only two rules you need to follow: they should be short and voluntary."
Podcast Episodes smart links to listen, download, and subscribe to Other Life. Click to listen! The absolute final word on all social-scientific questions related to Tiger King, the recent Netflix documentary. Taking questions from Twitter, we...
What if all the Constitutional successors are incapacitated? Standby orders were issued more than three weeks ago to protect Washington and also prepare for the possibility of some form of martial law.
Justin Murphy"America had better learn who Gen. Terrence J. O'Shaughnessy is.He is the "combatant commander" for the United States and would in theory be in charge if Washington were eviscerated."
Justin Murphy"What happens... if so many members of Congress come down with the coronavirus that the legislature cannot meet or cannot muster a quorum?"