Background Personal protective equipment (PPE) and social distancing are key measures designed to mitigate the risk of occupational SARS-CoV-2 infection in hospitals. Why healthcare workers nevertheless remain at increased risk is uncertain. Methods...
In hundreds of highly classified phone calls with foreign heads of state, President Donald Trump was so consistently unprepared for discussion of serious issues, so often outplayed in his conversations with powerful leaders like Russian President...
This book discusses the risks of information concealment in the context of major natural or industrial disasters – offering detailed descriptions and analyses of some 25 historical cases (Three Mile Island nuclear accident, Bhopal disaster,...
Symptomless transmission makes the coronavirus far harder to fight. But health officials dismissed the risk for months, pushing misleading and contradictory claims in the face of mounting evidence.
Marc Lipsitchnytimes.com/2020/06/27/wor… This article if correct is very discouraging. News of presymptomatic spread played down to avoid discouraging contact tracing -- if this is true, tail wagging the dog and much lost time/misplaced effort.
Our model highlights the urgent need for more data on the serial interval and the
extent of presymptomatic transmission to make data-driven policy decisions regarding
the cost–benefit comparisons of individual quarantine versus active monitoring...
Marc LipsitchAs noted on yesterday's discussion, this is a disease with a natural history that is challenging for contact tracing, with most contagiousness before or a few days after symptoms. That makes it key to trace fast and with high success
Estimation of the effective reproductive number, Rt, is important for detecting changes in disease transmission over time. During the COVID-19 pandemic, policymakers and public health officials are using Rt to assess the effectiveness of...
Marc LipsitchA big group effort led by Katie Gostic, Lauren McGough, and @sarahcobey - hope useful to the many of us trying to do this well.
Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt
El Gobierno español ha sido incapaz de proporcionar números claros durante la crisis
Marc LipsitchFirst world problems in Spain. US data even harder to come by thanks to state dissembling and lack of national strategy. Coronavirus: Los problemas de usar datos del siglo pasado para una pandemia del siglo XXI | La crisis del coronavirus | EL PAÍS