Nate Cohn
I write for The New York Times at @UpshotNYT. I cover elections, polling, and demographics. Northwest expat.
Note. This is unlikely to be a complete listing.
How the New Primary Calendar Changes the Contest for Democrats
Big election days like Super Tuesday will be more demographically representative (hurts Biden). There will be fewer caucuses (hurts Sanders).
They Voted Democratic. Now They Support Trump.
Two-thirds of battleground state voters who chose Trump in 2016 but selected Democrats in the midterms say they will return to the president next year.
They Voted Democratic. Now They Support Trump.
Two-thirds of battleground state voters who chose Trump in 2016 but selected Democrats in the midterms say they will return to the president next year.
Five Polling Results That May Change the Way You Think About Electability
Our battleground surveys had some outcomes that upended the conventional wisdom.
Five Polling Results That May Change the Way You Think About Electability
Our battleground surveys had some outcomes that upended the conventional wisdom.
Nonvoters Are a Source of Hope for Democrats. But Maybe a False Hope.
Demographically, they seem like people who’d want to vote out Trump. Yet at least in the battleground states, many favor Republicans.
Meet the Swing Voters Who Might Decide the 2020 Election
Men are likelier to be undecided than women, countering assumptions.
One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds
Signs that the president’s advantage in the Electoral College has persisted or even increased since 2016.
One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds
Signs that the president’s advantage in the Electoral College has persisted or even increased since 2016.
Voters in Battleground States Are Deeply Divided on Impeachment
With core supporters and opponents dug in, a crucial sliver of people support the inquiry but not necessarily removal.