Preventing big clusters of cases would help curb the pandemic, scientists say
Tomas PueyoThis @ScienceMagazine article from @kakape supports what we said 2 weeks ago around the importance of indoors, confined environments with lots of ppl singing, talking, and touching each other.
The country has the highest penetration of any automated contact tracing app in the world, but one senior figure says it “wasn’t a game changer.”
Tomas PueyoContact Tracing apps will likely not work the way they're conceived today.
The best attempt worldwide is proving us right: Iceland, with 40% penetration, says they're mostly useless [1//3]
Should we restrict travel? Close music festivals? Schools? What businesses should we open? What social events should be allowed?
Tomas PueyoNew article! #Coronavirus: Prevent Seeding and Spreading
Covers the + expensive measures that we might need to take—or not: Should we restrict travel? Close music festivals? Schools? What businesses should we open? What social events should be allowed?
Tomas PueyoWith different US states opening up their economies before they're ready while others go for the Hammer and the Dance, a question I get is: Can H&D states still hope to eliminate the #coronavirus ? My answer: [1/9]
Anders Tegnell, Sweden's state epidemiologist, said on "The Daily Show" that his team didn't expect to risk lives keeping Sweden open.
Tomas PueyoDid Sweden admit they were wrong after all? After weeks pushing for a #coronavirus strategy that would result in herd immunity, saying that deaths wouldn't be that bad, the chief epi for Sweden is now surprised at the death toll.
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Tomas Pueyo. @nireyal and I just talked about 1M things, such as how to handle distractions during coronavirus time, some behavioral changes he believes are here to stay, why Iran might be hiding coronavirus data [1/3]
Tomas PueyoBased on my research for the article Out of Many, One, I concluded that a hammer and dance strategy was not just better for lives, but also better economically than herd immunity, based on what happened with the 1918 pandemic [1/3]
Background: Countries vary in their response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Some emphasise social distancing, while others focus on other interventions. Evidence on the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of these interventions is urgently needed to...
Tomas PueyoWe pre-published a paper on cost-effective interventions to suppress the #coronavirus pandemic, led by @Dr_Carl_Juneaumedrxiv.org/content/10.110…
It's a lit review on all relevant research. Example of insight: contact tracing might be 4,000x cheaper per death than school closures
Tomas PueyoNew installment of our article: The Basic Dance Steps Everybody Can Follow
If focuses on the few things that are really simple but citizens, business and governments can all encourage: masks, physical distancing, hygiene, and a few others.
Far more people have died over the past month than have been officially reported, a review of mortality data in 11 countries shows.
Tomas PueyoFollowing closely the IFR vs. CFR debate to know what the true prevalence & fatality rate are. Bottoms-up data points from serological tests are consistent, but many of the top-down say something different (eg, Diamond Princess, Mortality Rates)
Part 1: A Dancing Masterclass, or What We Can Learn from Countries Around the World
Tomas Pueyo#Coronavirus: Learning How to Dance
1st installment in this series. If focuses on the cases of China, Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore to understand what we can learn from them.
We will be posting the next installments ~daily.
Tomas PueyoToday, @GavinNewsom, the governor of California, referred to CA as a nation-state. This is a big deal: in our current world order, the legitimacy of countries comes from the fact they are also nations. You're a nation? You can consider becoming a country.
Thread by @tomaspueyo: I talked with US state lawmakers today and shared a few charts about the #coronavirus . Here are some (thread 1/9): Yoremember this chart from a couple of weeks ago, from my article medium.com/@tomaspueyo/co… Now look at an...